Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31650f1965df4d9d30238378baa091934657779e155c121c1db496714d71950a

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	70c	13,643$9,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,503.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	70c	5,636$3,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,949.48	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over	30c	5,422$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,795.37	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	11c	3,411$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,026.19	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	30c	3,334$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,334.04	156	50%78 W · 78 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	32c	2,700$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,829.2	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	44c	2,287$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.98	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over	33c	1,763$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.74	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+75.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	26c	1,719$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.17	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	30c	1,667$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.67	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	71c	1,519$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.46	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	70c	1,499$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.95	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	32c	1,162$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.37	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	3c	1,128$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	29c	999$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.29	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	28c	997.99$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.02	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Over	31c	976.08$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.08	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	69c	943.91$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.74	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under	27c	942.37$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.44	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd77…8cccbacked Over	32c	928.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.55	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	30c	897.23$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.06	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over	29c	862.07$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.07	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Under	73c	830$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.9	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over	29c	591.48$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.95	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	67c	569.9$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.84	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	26c	519.52$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.68	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over	29c	517.24$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.24	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	30c	500$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	73c	478.07$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.31	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over	32c	466.87$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.71	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	32c	450$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.56	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	30c	450$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.35	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	31c	450$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.5	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over	26c	400$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	68c	367$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.56	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	68c	367$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.56	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	10c	359.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.6	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	14c	356.51$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.2	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	29c	342.69$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.31	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	33c	336.61$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.08	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over	31c	319.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.06	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Over	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5722…2c07backed Over	32c	278.84$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	32c	268.06$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.01	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over	30c	220$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	72c	205.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.32	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	29c	199$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.29	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	41c	198.01$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0bc…0d48backed Over	29c	172.41$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.41	87	32.2%28 W · 59 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over	29c	172.41$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.41	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	44c	168$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	70c	165.03$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.52	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	70c	165.03$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.52	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa339…2e64backed Over	32c	162.5$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Over	31c	161.45$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.45	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Under	70c	149.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	71c	149.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.49	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	71c	121.69$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	32c	115.63$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.63	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	28c	112.82$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.23	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	29c	111.75$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.34	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	36c	111.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.25	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb5…c269backed Over	30c	110$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	27c	109.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.05	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under	74c	108.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over	22c	106.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.14	142	43.7%62 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	28c	105.58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.02	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5daa…d619backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	188	29.3%55 W · 133 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920a…717ebacked Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+225.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	74c	102.12$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over	29c	100.78$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.83	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Over	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	78c	88.1$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under	69c	87.35$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	618	55.3%342 W · 276 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over	29c	86.42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.42	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over	29c	86.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.21	120	28.3%34 W · 86 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over	33c	81$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9732…5f8bbacked Over	29c	79.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.87	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over	33c	74.13$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.61	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Over	31c	70.97$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Over	31c	70.97$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	69c	67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.23	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	37c	60.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.09	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over	29c	55.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.55	218	40.8%89 W · 129 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce5…cc16backed Over	29c	51.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked Under	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	28c	49.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.07	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over	31c	49.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca46…43e5backed Over	32c	45.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f74…13dbbacked Under	73c	44.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…9bfebacked Over	29c	42.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.19	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event