Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee7c37cb6a69d03d170b4eec5825b069227cd7357dc9b2b1244069bf3796f0e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	4,712$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.7	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under	37c	2,074$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.38	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	28c	2,015$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.64	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	60c	1,741$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.55	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over	74c	1,612$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.64	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-6.9wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	19c	1,365$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.13	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under	40c	1,236$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	21c	1,021$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.41	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over	63c	1,009$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.65	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	21c	1,004$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.51	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over	68c	999.99$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	21c	999.9$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.98	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over	62c	814.88$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.71	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	34c	746.26$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.24	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under	11c	667.81$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	120	28.3%34 W · 86 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under	21c	658.84$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.36	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over	80c	531.25$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	20c	524.49$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.9	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dde…6b53backed Over	63c	498.79$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.79	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	51cpaid	+64%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	62c	491.52$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.19	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	23c	418$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.14	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Over	79c	408.15$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	20c	378.41$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.39	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	61c	374.25$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.64	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over	71c	331.46$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.03	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	20c	279.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over	78c	275.77$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.67	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	29c	273.34$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.48	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	28c	258.14$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d56…470fbacked Over	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under	21c	220$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over	69c	211$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.36	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Over	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	19c	199.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	20c	190$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	20c	187.77$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	39c	152.65$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under	21c	152$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+20.3wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Over	79c	150.37$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	51	66.7%34 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d34…e004backed Over	79c	148.48$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde7c…2342backed Under	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadf9…aedebacked Under	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	20c	126.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.28	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over	79c	125$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Under	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.23	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f7…319bbacked Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c5…d569backed Under	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Over	61c	99.98$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.99	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf640…ca7ebacked Over	78c	89.21$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa667…9a23backed Under	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Over	62c	80.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.88	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over	62c	79.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.03	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over	79c	75.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff7…1472backed Under	32c	67.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5332…8af4backed Over	79c	66$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4872…4e40backed Over	79c	59.98$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Over	79c	55.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over	80c	55.21$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	273	63.4%173 W · 100 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7bf…8f4ebacked Over	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Over	79c	50.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d48…197cbacked Under	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Under	25c	48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Over	63c	47.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.47	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…56a5backed Over	62c	43.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…a923backed Over	79c	43.04$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.04	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	78c	38.21$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	195	45.6%89 W · 106 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b6…a2b6backed Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9144…e30dbacked Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee30…0b3bbacked Over	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c99…fb5ebacked Over	79c	36.38$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.64	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a6…f192backed Over	80c	36.11$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.42per pick	75cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c5…0ec9backed Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7eb…2222backed Over	79c	30.38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.38	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…d790backed Over	71c	28.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616e…a666backed Over	64c	28.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	79c	27.16$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48a6…42debacked Over	62c	25.81$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc540…3643backed Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3515…ef87backed Over	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0e…d3b2backed Over	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2503…8285backed Over	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee8…ae98backed Over	71c	22.47$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…2b23backed Over	80c	18.76$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc1…8ddebacked Over	77c	15.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.52	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…55bcbacked Over	80c	13.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.63	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+53%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event