Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7367451df11be9e228117ec8f1f7255476fc90df89a61bee1a1e7f8cced116d

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	31c	6,816$2,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,113.98	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	76c	3,477$2,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.28	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under	29c	2,759$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,971.92	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	72c	2,178$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.26	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	69c	2,016$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under	71c	2,008$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.47	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	69c	1,400$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.93	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under	31c	1,368$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.55	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	69c	1,196$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.7	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	11c	1,161$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.49	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	71c	1,104$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.13	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	29c	999.98$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	195	45.6%89 W · 106 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	65c	924.74$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.13	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	69c	866.23$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.17	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	69c	864.48$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.89	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	9c	838.31$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.96	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	68c	810.23$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.77	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over	31c	755.29$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.14	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	11c	715.21$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.22	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over	67c	605.59$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.75	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	72c	597.41$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.73	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…fab1backed Under	33c	580.27$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.01	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under	29c	498.8$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.8	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	37c	450$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.5	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	37c	450$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.99	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	37c	450$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.2	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over	24c	430$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	13c	400.59$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over	28c	355.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over	29c	349.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcabf…6876backed Over	31c	328.65$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	68c	251.98$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.68	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under	27c	240.74$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.74	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+4.9wins	+0.22per pick	32cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under	54c	236.25$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.63	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+8.5wins	+0.25per pick	40cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	277	42.2%117 W · 160 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Over	31c	193.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over	42c	191.45$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.31	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	69c	190.43$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.03	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under	54c	186.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.84	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over	46c	153.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under	33c	149$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.66	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	71c	140.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.99	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	22c	120.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over	31c	97.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b4…addbbacked Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under	49c	92.74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.75	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	31c	87.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4906backed Over	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b61…c9ccbacked Over	30c	70.83$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	30c	69.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	113	31%35 W · 78 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc48e…0ebebacked Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	75c	66.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6897backed Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	69c	63.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	146	24.7%36 W · 110 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…2859backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…236ebacked Over	31c	61.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3230…0d82backed Over	30c	50.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	34c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Over	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	72c	45.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over	45c	39.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	69c	37.1$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over	31c	34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…5a0dbacked Over	31c	33.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a6…2923backed Under	70c	32.36$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	71c	30.39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	64c	30.03$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.81	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over	53c	21.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under	63c	20.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.72	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x446d…a0b2backed Over	72c	20.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	72	69.4%50 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	69c	20.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event