TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$747,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$750,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over17c140,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,799.9617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over17c51,005$8,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,733.7177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over2c49,470$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.431,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over4c25,345$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.5766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over9c24,999$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.33,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over16c18,045$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.481,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over13c14,995$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.1239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over18c14,597$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.0821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over6c10,729$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over6c9,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6928964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over5c6,000$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over18c5,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over4c4,242$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8221314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over10c3,846$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c3,794$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c3,050$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.252,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over11c2,852$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over12c2,460$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.228526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over2c2,131$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6136543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over14c2,054$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Under80c2,002$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3519432.5%63 W · 131 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under79c1,887$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.25825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over16c1,886$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c1,793$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Over6c1,647$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.844311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over9c1,277$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.941,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over2c1,172$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4333245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Over2c1,167$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over15c1,031$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.992,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd0…fd2bbacked Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over12c808.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over3c788.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3110420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over21c714.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed Under80c640.01$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0220146.8%94 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c601.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e77…a6bdbacked Over17c567.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.543237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…26e8backed Over18c556.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002528%7 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Over8c544.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.251637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over7c544.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9917629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Over9c499.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.113727%10 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over21c476.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over9c443.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over11c435.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over15c432.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6148055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over4c419.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbce…91b2backed Over6c402.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over7c384$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.481,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb43e…ef83backed Over5c362.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over10c359.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.236838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over12c358.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c355.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over19c301.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over7c299.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over11c296.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.811,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f49…e67bbacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x410f…57febacked Over7c291.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d93…2756backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over12c259.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1953436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Over17c240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7610314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over18c230$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.430836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over12c226.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over12c216.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266123%14 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over12c214.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7314323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.243819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over8c209.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over10c205.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.379047.8%43 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over18c193.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1763255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over21c190.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over14c186.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1534144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over17c172.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b54…920fbacked Over9c166.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122737%10 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Over12c156.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.737631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over13c144.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…181bbacked Over14c143.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8622029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over12c141.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over18c135.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3114526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206041.7%25 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.