Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79a3a97bdfd0f3f557599533779a3e697fcd73a3254aefedea7f8996f82a1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 17c | 140,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.96 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 17c | 51,005$8,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.71 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 49,470$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.43 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 4c | 25,345$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.57 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 24,999$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 16c | 18,045$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.48 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 13c | 14,995$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.12 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 18c | 14,597$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.08 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 10,729$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 6c | 9,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 5c | 6,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 18c | 5,428$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 4c | 4,242$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 10c | 3,846$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 3,794$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Over | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 3,050$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 11c | 2,852$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 12c | 2,460$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 2c | 2,131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 14c | 2,054$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Under | 80c | 2,002$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.35 | 194 | 32.5%63 W · 131 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under | 79c | 1,887$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 16c | 1,886$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 1,793$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.23 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…875abacked Over | 6c | 1,647$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 9c | 1,277$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 2c | 1,172$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Over | 2c | 1,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 15c | 1,031$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…fd2bbacked Over | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 12c | 808.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over | 3c | 788.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 21c | 714.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…6f75backed Under | 80c | 640.01$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 4c | 601.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…a6bdbacked Over | 17c | 567.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…26e8backed Over | 18c | 556.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…65c8backed Over | 8c | 544.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 7c | 544.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Over | 9c | 499.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 21c | 476.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 9c | 443.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 11c | 435.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 15c | 432.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 4c | 419.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Over | 6c | 402.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 7c | 384$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…ef83backed Over | 5c | 362.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 10c | 359.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 12c | 358.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 355.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 19c | 301.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 11c | 296.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…e67bbacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Over | 7c | 291.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…2756backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 12c | 259.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Over | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 12c | 226.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Over | 12c | 214.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 8c | 209.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 10c | 205.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 18c | 193.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 21c | 190.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 14c | 186.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 17c | 172.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…920fbacked Over | 9c | 166.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Over | 12c | 156.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Over | 13c | 144.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…181bbacked Over | 14c | 143.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 18c | 135.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.