TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Netherlandsof Japan, Netherlands
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Japan2c21,739$500 inLost-$50071638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Japan1c16,884$175 inLost-$175.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Japan2c8,695$209 inLost-$208.6921333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Japan2c6,242$118 inLost-$118.011,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Japan2c5,426$109 inLost-$108.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Japan3c5,000$135 inLost-$135120%0 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Japan2c4,489$100 inLost-$100515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Japan3c3,839$99 inLost-$999839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Japan3c3,801$120 inLost-$120.092,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Japan3c3,462$100 inLost-$10036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Japan3c3,295$98 inLost-$9814428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Japan2c2,813$47 inLost-$47.0224917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Japan2c2,380$59 inLost-$58.731,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Japan3c2,133$60 inLost-$59.5265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Japan3c2,010$58 inLost-$57.92,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x210d…a85cbacked Japan3c1,918$54 inLost-$53.521323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Japan3c1,554$42 inLost-$41.9651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Japan1c1,385$21 inLost-$20.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c8…c328backed Japan1c1,300$13 inLost-$12.91811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…4f65backed Japan3c961.54$25 inLost-$253915.4%6 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe844…fe1abacked Japan3c599.08$19 inLost-$19.45837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Japan3c581.84$17 inLost-$16.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Japan3c476.19$15 inLost-$152512%3 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Japan3c427.37$12 inLost-$12.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b4…3c44backed Japan3c400$11 inLost-$10.83622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.