TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c12,410$6,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,858.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over45c6,000$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3013357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c5,628$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.894,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over45c4,999$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.514348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c3,942$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over51c1,926$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.7411035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c1,675$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8488530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c1,506$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.3374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under54c1,433$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.786929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over48c1,284$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.111,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under6c1,256$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.398321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under55c1,250$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c1,233$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.543,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,069$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over46c1,002$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.874156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under56c912.03$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over74c672.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c630.58$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Over45c600.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.13944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over32c561.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.764940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.561216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fcf…ccf0backed Over45c554.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.283560%21 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over23c543.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.663432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over36c541.75$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.722934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over45c482.64$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.457022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23419838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over47c450$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over48c450$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5119039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over36c449.9$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.391,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4416943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20816549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c387$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1343145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under23c361$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over28c337.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3114612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over47c309.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.899057.8%52 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over39c304.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4410845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over44c298$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.887655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c297.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over43c294.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.731,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over44c289$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7514440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…34d5backed Under57c220$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.43946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2207…ba56backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over45c215$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.253551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Under41c208.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over50c190.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.658338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over47c187.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over47c170.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7525532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1718548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…7342backed Over45c150.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c142.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a6…db37backed Over46c142.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb010…3c99backed Over46c132.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.613658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c126.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Under56c122$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.323540%14 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca0…d5f8backed Under55c113.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.576248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1136631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1152217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf016…1f07backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over45c110.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0422752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over45c109.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0210540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb19…a9d4backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Over46c108.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0516341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under56c106.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8226537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bf…87aabacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over45c105.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over47c105.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+87.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5518448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under55c99.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9657252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under55c99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Over44c97.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.467136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under52c96.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over78c91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8915645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.967349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under54c76.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.442,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over46c74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c70.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c69.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6469…04d9backed Over51c67.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.25850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8149…f490backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…fe38backed Over45c63.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.052875%21 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41a6…504fbacked Under55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…22a4backed Over40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c60.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.231,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over48c58.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3315050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Over50c52.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.