TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over2c5,397$102 inLost-$102.2728526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…afbbbacked Over2c5,025$100 inLost-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick18cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over0c4,947$12 inLost-$11.843,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over1c3,050$30 inLost-$3037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over2c2,478$50 inLost-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Over3c800$24 inLost-$24849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa5…0e06backed Over2c696.53$15 inLost-$151010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd680…c122backed Over2c612.76$14 inLost-$13.960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed Over2c526.58$10 inLost-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5f…5468backed Over20c300$60 inLost-$608853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under80c205.67$165 inWon+$41.131,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under80c86.5$69 inWon+$17.334554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.