Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf202f4cca79d2352c458244537ec37382083c6c7dac742c18d1e2e65ef89e7c3

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $791,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $828,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,094 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under	62c	161,929$99,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,918.07	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	160,956$74,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86,041.25	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	38c	151,215$57,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,569.79	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	45c	150,596$67,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,626.9	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	36c	38,964$14,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,855.79	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Under	75c	32,290$24,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,109.37	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd2…da00backed Under	71c	15,266$10,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,893.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	80c	14,345$11,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,429.98	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	43c	14,261$6,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,132.32	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	11c	12,895$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,505.12	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x111a…12c3backed Over	42c	11,905$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,904.76	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,771.93	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	33c	6,466$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,305.7	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under	46c	6,430$2,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.19	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	54c	5,547$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020.47	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over	58c	4,127$2,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.38	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Under	76c	4,000$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,040	97	19.6%19 W · 78 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	41c	3,861$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,589.85	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,846.15	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under	46c	3,761$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.71	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38cc…425bbacked Under	57c	3,509$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over	50c	3,500$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over	62c	3,226$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.81	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Over	26c	3,106$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.27	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Over	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.56	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.99	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	12c	2,864$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,526.58	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed Under	63c	2,605$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,636	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under	67c	2,500$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686.84	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over	26c	2,308$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.69	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	58c	2,195$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	27c	2,185$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.19	121	41.3%50 W · 71 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	40c	2,135$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.84	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2145…aa3fbacked Over	57c	2,067$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.92	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Under	77c	2,038$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.11	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	52c	2,023$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.75	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	26c	2,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…5c34backed Under	52c	1,966$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Over	26c	1,923$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.08	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	26c	1,856$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.61	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.71	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	47c	1,768$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.49	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over	57c	1,768$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.01	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	12c	1,754$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.66	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Under	47c	1,747$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.12	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.68	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.67	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over	55c	1,662$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.14	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Under	78c	1,648$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.4	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	73cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under	47c	1,628$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.23	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	51c	1,607$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.92	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	35c	1,548$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.63	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over	58c	1,500$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Over	57c	1,492$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	46c	1,461$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.06	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	26c	1,423$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.08	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	78c	1,410$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	25c	1,406$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.32	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	47c	1,379$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.82	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb6…c956backed Under	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over	26c	1,323$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.08	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under	76c	1,316$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	26c	1,300$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under	45c	1,265$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.12	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	75c	1,260$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.8	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	74c	1,149$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.89	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	54c	1,101$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	54c	1,093$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.61	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Under	74c	1,081$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over	56c	1,081$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.02	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	39c	1,070$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.05	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	44c	1,069$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.71	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e9…03a5backed Under	74c	1,068$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	17c	1,052$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.6	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under	69c	1,009$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.47	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2e…716bbacked Under	76c	1,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	46c	997.27$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.11	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edc…77bfbacked Under	44c	984.36$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under	75c	984$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.72	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	43c	974.46$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.55	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over	26c	957.94$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.94	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under	44c	954.55$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	29c	946.24$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.45	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Under	74c	940.54$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	360	23.6%85 W · 275 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	26c	927$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.98	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under	79c	919.02$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.05	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under	43c	907$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.01	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over	44c	900$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	23c	899.26$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.99	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Over	51c	882.35$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.35	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	26c	875$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.5	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	44c	795.45$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Over	57c	795.3$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.98	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	26c	792.59$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.45	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	57c	771.93$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.93	276	55.1%152 W · 124 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event