Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f5beecaa63f07abb215ea3ad909658677a9c3f053619a530dc3bea0acae76f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $704,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $870,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	11c	68,267$7,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,652.02	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	9c	48,325$4,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,396.84	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under	1c	30,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under	1c	19,998$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	6c	16,247$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.22	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x138f…657ebacked Under	13c	14,731$1,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922.01	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+89%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	19c	13,675$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.99	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	7c	12,047$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.07	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	6c	11,111$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.66	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	6c	11,028$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.71	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under	19c	10,984$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140.61	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	3c	9,986$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.42	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	22c	9,954$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.52	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under	1c	9,586$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.86	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under	11c	7,561$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.93	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under	8c	7,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	9c	6,543$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.78	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	16c	6,031$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.33	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	6c	4,776$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.56	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	8c	4,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	5c	4,409$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,255$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	8c	4,229$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.66	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under	1c	3,750$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	178	27.5%49 W · 129 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Under	7c	3,500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Under	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under	14c	2,635$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.21	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b05…c092backed Over	78c	2,564$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.1	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	68cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over	78c	2,522$1,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.85	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under	7c	2,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	79c	2,213$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	7c	2,089$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.23	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Under	8c	2,079$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.08	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over	76c	1,804$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.98	41	78%32 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	9c	1,801$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.09	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under	7c	1,786$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	1c	1,622$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	6c	1,485$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.1	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ed2abacked Under	8c	1,425$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over	78c	1,400$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	7c	1,400$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over	78c	1,286$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.9	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	304	65.1%198 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under	1c	1,250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	192	18.8%36 W · 156 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under	1c	1,250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	77c	1,247$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.87	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Under	8c	1,216$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.31	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	7c	1,191$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.35	351	50.7%178 W · 173 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	7c	1,097$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under	1c	1,010$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	270	32.2%87 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Under	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Under	8c	940$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	7c	911.34$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.79	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	6c	909.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	128	31.3%40 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	20c	896.67$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.4	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	7c	848.18$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.37	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…bec4backed Under	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over	78c	833.33$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over	77c	830.62$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.04	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	8c	812.5$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under	7c	800$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Under	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	8c	700.04$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under	12c	699.97$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	7c	644.55$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	10c	636.61$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	3c	590.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	77c	590.13$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.73	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	14c	581.24$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	6c	528.01$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Under	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Under	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	7c	499.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under	6c	455.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under	18c	444.44$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	142	46.5%66 W · 76 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Under	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Under	23c	423.13$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.32	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over	77c	399.65$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.92	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	7c	380.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fa…7e82backed Over	78c	368.71$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.12	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Under	23c	350$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under	23c	338.51$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.86	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Under	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	195	20%39 W · 156 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe5…9a97backed Under	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Under	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	77c	290.34$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.78	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	9c	288$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under	8c	287.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event