TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,121 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f62…76f6backed Over18c4,618$840 inLost-$839.792,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over13c3,706$482 inLost-$481.782,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c1,615$162 inLost-$161.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over11c981.58$108 inLost-$107.9728526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c866$87 inLost-$86.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c757.5$76 inLost-$75.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under60c557.6$335 inWon+$223.0411065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$5022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over13c450$59 inLost-$58.519838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over13c450$59 inLost-$58.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over13c450$59 inLost-$58.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Over10c404$40 inLost-$40.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over5c400$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over20c217.69$44 inLost-$44.0135619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c214.77$24 inLost-$23.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Under55c191.25$105 inWon+$86.063860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over41c187.03$77 inLost-$77.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over10c175.59$18 inLost-$18.284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under60c167.27$100 inWon+$66.9112750.4%64 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over11c140$15 inLost-$15.470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under60c111.97$67 inWon+$44.7942952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over10c111.5$11 inLost-$11.1548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1026537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b61…cb6abacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under79c77.3$61 inWon+$16.196061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2995…f5bbbacked Under71c70.74$50 inWon+$20.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4bd…c685backed Over20c60.48$12 inLost-$12.251435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+108.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under60c33.45$20 inWon+$13.3847546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked Under52c33.04$17 inWon+$15.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over48c30$14 inLost-$14.437348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under60c24$14 inWon+$9.611860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.