Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4d57080343d514118af15eb42891bbe690a7d93c669d693906251a845c5b45

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Japanof Netherlands, Japan
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,031,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,014,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,995 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands	24c	450,581$106,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106,247.24	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Japan	76c	307,831$233,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,879.53	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Japan	74c	124,417$92,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,735.6	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands	24c	49,161$11,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,775.9	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Japan	78c	46,378$36,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,203.21	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Japan	78c	32,000$24,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,040	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands	25c	31,615$7,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,863	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Japan	78c	27,769$21,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,236.1	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Netherlands	25c	26,364$6,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,590.96	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Netherlands	22c	21,082$4,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,638.12	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Netherlands	22c	14,933$3,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,303.32	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Netherlands	20c	13,684$2,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,736.8	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Netherlands	22c	13,535$2,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,977.81	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Netherlands	34c	13,361$4,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,542.75	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Japan	77c	12,997$9,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,013.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Japan	77c	12,987$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,987.01	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d6…343ebacked Netherlands	23c	12,711$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Japan	75c	10,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Netherlands	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.97	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Netherlands	16c	9,256$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Netherlands	25c	8,563$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.12	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Netherlands	25c	7,795$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,948.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands	24c	7,011$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.17	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Netherlands	13c	6,209$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.11	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Netherlands	19c	5,250$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.5	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Japan	77c	5,208$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.48	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Japan	76c	5,010$3,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.42	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc941…5afabacked Netherlands	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Netherlands	23c	4,836$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.9	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Netherlands	20c	4,647$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.61	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Japan	75c	4,620$3,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.4	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Netherlands	24c	4,128$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.67	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9c…a734backed Netherlands	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Netherlands	26c	3,846$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Netherlands	30c	3,288$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Japan	74c	3,200$2,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.99	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Japan	75c	3,063$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.69	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Netherlands	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Netherlands	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Netherlands	24c	2,918$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.76	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Netherlands	24c	2,892$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.01	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Netherlands	25c	2,800$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Netherlands	25c	2,800$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Japan	77c	2,727$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.27	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Japan	78c	2,635$2,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.04	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Japan	74c	2,587$1,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.54	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Japan	75c	2,505$1,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.35	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Japan	75c	2,334$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.4	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Japan	75c	2,274$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.26	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Japan	68c	2,200$1,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.14	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Japan	75c	2,199$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Japan	78c	2,192$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.67	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Netherlands	23c	2,173$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.79	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Japan	76c	2,011$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.45	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked Netherlands	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde77…efb5backed Japan	76c	1,960$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.39	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Japan	76c	1,954$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.99	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked Japan	76c	1,953$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.84	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Japan	78c	1,740$1,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.83	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Netherlands	24c	1,667$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Netherlands	24c	1,606$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.85	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99b…52b2backed Netherlands	25c	1,600$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Netherlands	25c	1,584$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.55	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Japan	76c	1,539$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.58	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Japan	80c	1,504$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.18	63	61.9%39 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Netherlands	25c	1,404$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.05	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8461…d383backed Netherlands	22c	1,400$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.98	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Japan	76c	1,389$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.26	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Netherlands	15c	1,345$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Netherlands	22c	1,320$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.75	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Japan	76c	1,316$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.79	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b6…c6aabacked Japan	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-45%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…4673backed Japan	77c	1,287$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Japan	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	69cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Japan	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Netherlands	24c	1,226$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.46	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Netherlands	24c	1,225$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.99	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Netherlands	24c	1,192$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.99	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Netherlands	23c	1,157$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Netherlands	23c	1,146$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.88	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…7777backed Japan	78c	1,138$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Netherlands	22c	1,133$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.75	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Japan	75c	1,100$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Japan	75c	1,100$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands	23c	1,074$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.1	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Netherlands	25c	1,054$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.71	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Netherlands	12c	1,053$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.32	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Japan	77c	1,039$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.96	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Netherlands	25c	1,006$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.47	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Netherlands	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Japan	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4518…25b0backed Japan	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.33	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Japan	77c	914.47$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.47	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Japan	78c	850$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187	224	52.2%117 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Netherlands	23c	810.34$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Netherlands	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Netherlands	23c	797.16$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.7	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f77…2b2fbacked Japan	76c	787.96$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.11	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ad…698bbacked Japan	76c	782.01$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.68	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Japan	75c	780$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)this page
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event