Champions League · resolved market
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e3fcf3b87337c711cbd1b8f2bcd0830d484cda12d73ad7f8135aac65a43523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 18c | 13,866$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.79 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 68c | 6,502$4,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.8 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 21c | 5,398$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 3,195$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.13 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 1,917$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.22 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,630$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 25c | 1,334$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.75 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 19c | 1,017$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 25c | 701.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 639.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 73c | 559.84$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 72c | 546.61$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 78c | 500.61$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 20c | 415.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 11c | 377.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 371.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 17c | 215.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 32c | 206.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 18c | 199.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 184.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 26c | 182.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 17c | 153.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 140.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…4e69backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 131.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…df2ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 79c | 127.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 24c | 120.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 30c | 119.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 76c | 117.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +94%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 72c | 116.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 72c | 106.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 71c | 89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 33c | 71.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 22c | 70.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 69.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 17c | 64.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 79c | 64.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 79c | 63.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 72c | 61.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 72c | 56.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 22c | 49.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…41a6backed Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 43.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed No | 32c | 42.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 64c | 42.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 76c | 41.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 68c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…3425backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 74c | 33.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 59c | 30.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 56c | 24.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 72c | 23.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 74c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?No won
- Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.