Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ab30d554a2b3ff7ad25ce20bf9170812e2447fd67263363356da9e25eb4298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $966,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 47c | 275,018$129,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,566.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 53c | 108,975$57,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,846.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Under | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 53c | 44,520$23,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,595.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 47c | 30,294$14,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,100.84 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 53c | 22,088$11,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,706.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 1c | 17,364$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 53c | 16,698$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.97 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 11,897$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.57 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 0c | 10,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Under | 26c | 9,421$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 1c | 9,354$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 0c | 7,494$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 7,224$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.7 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 7,223$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.22 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 60c | 6,822$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 51c | 6,799$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Over | 48c | 6,552$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 6,340$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 52c | 6,234$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 53c | 5,831$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Over | 76c | 5,819$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 52c | 4,953$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 49c | 4,790$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 52c | 4,515$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 53c | 4,387$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 53c | 4,179$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Over | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 28c | 3,713$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 8c | 3,712$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 53c | 3,401$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 53c | 3,367$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Under | 53c | 3,353$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 47c | 3,307$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 54c | 3,172$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.97 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 51c | 2,781$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 54c | 2,341$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…b16cbacked Over | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 51c | 2,093$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 52c | 2,089$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,079$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.24 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…aea1backed Over | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 52c | 2,040$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…a105backed Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 53c | 1,825$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under | 28c | 1,798$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 38c | 1,626$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.55 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 52c | 1,521$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,513$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 51c | 1,467$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Over | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 52c | 1,355$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 42c | 1,305$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over | 46c | 1,300$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Over | 76c | 1,270$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.57 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.57 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 1,152$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.54 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 29c | 1,143$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,095$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 53c | 1,030$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Over | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 1,016$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.72 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…21afbacked Over | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Under | 52c | 992.33$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.