Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9fb1665934c79a7f67789f317990b817caf276f44cde0eecd84aad9a153751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 0c | 154,470$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 0c | 19,330$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 11,291$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.72 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 73c | 11,202$8,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 0c | 8,895$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Under | 9c | 6,955$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 26c | 5,265$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.99 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 3,944$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.29 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 29c | 3,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.56 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 27c | 3,428$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 27c | 3,227$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.25 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 71c | 2,643$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 51c | 2,625$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 2,437$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.13 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 26c | 2,376$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.19 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Over | 72c | 1,951$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 45c | 1,855$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Over | 71c | 1,650$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 1,520$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.66 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 1,422$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.51 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 28c | 1,404$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Over | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 15cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Under | 72c | 1,390$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed Under | 75c | 1,334$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 1,202$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.32 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,168$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.52 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.69 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 1,088$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.27 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 29c | 996.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Under | 29c | 966.32$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…8ce8backed Under | 72c | 959.89$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 930.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.95 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Under | 11c | 912$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 820.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed Over | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 10c | 787.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 72c | 757.11$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 24c | 724.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 706.23$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 72c | 694.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…6531backed Over | 30c | 651$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…8775backed Over | 30c | 650$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 72c | 640$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Under | 51c | 615.76$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 606.43$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.63 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 70c | 605.67$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 74c | 605$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 604.74$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.15 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 50c | 600$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.89 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed Under | 34c | 594.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over | 28c | 585.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 30c | 574.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 28c | 491.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Over | 28c | 467.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…5771backed Under | 72c | 458.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Under | 29c | 452.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 32c | 449.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Under | 79c | 445.56$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 7c | 445.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…40e8backed Over | 30c | 426.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 56c | 426.21$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab5…2663backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Over | 27c | 418.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 8c | 405.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 68c | 389.49$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 26c | 383.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 30c | 356.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Over | 28c | 355$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Under | 37c | 353.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 30c | 317.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…7c0dbacked Under | 72c | 314.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 10c | 313.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 61c | 306.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 27c | 299.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 71c | 295.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 6c | 292.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Under | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 74c | 271.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 32c | 268.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Under | 71c | 266.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39f…136abacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 40c | 247.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 7c | 217.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 213$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.