TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,745 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes11c18,125$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.63520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c15,737$12,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.282,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c8,520$6,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.331,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes30c8,333$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No72c8,077$5,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0309272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c5,937$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.432,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes8c5,500$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.995042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes14c4,998$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.553630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes7c4,470$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes15c3,184$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c9…58abbacked Yes3c3,141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c2,678$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.784856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c2,515$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6125544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7252420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c2,417$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.5120040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes29c2,342$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes18c2,159$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.86728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes30c1,866$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No72c1,387$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c1,303$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.943231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Yes30c1,168$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c967.29$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.841,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c829$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No67c814.98$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.947176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No71c775.54$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes3c750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed No71c736.72$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.654742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes29c668.57$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Yes31c638.13$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c604.25$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes10c553.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No71c492.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.962552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No71c492.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07d…895fbacked Yes17c450$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes29c431.03$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No65c394.63$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Yes9c372.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711b…bcecbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f8…2714backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+199.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No73c302.85$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.772245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c295.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes35c286.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes22c266.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes27c266.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.93850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.546660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes30c246.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes27c232$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.642623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes5c220$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c216$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.931,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes9c208.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.756225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5817464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes29c199.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes16c185.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.227758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b1f…4b98backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes29c170.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff7a…5939backed Yes29c154.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.514262.7%89 W · 53 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.533156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.527661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.514265.5%93 W · 49 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.