TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,474,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,474,253 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed Yes51c697,784$354,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,006.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No45c192,641$87,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,620.2924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c139,128$62,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,345.996,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed No45c87,347$39,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,390.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c56,748$23,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,696.651,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No61c53,021$32,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,475.414841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c46,431$19,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,281.322,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c39,878$18,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,399.091,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes31c29,984$9,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,689.043557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c29,970$11,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,967.84,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c25,743$17,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,407.011,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c23,351$15,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,878.8351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c23,287$15,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,843.972,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No45c22,500$10,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,12516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No45c22,100$9,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9452857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes33c15,184$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,183.855848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes31c15,000$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,349.986650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No39c12,968$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c11,415$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,891.462,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No3c10,642$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes59c10,487$6,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No68c10,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.914748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No48c7,600$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6505752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes53c6,999$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.716066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No47c5,555$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.632050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No46c5,550$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5532334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No69c5,149$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.321973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No60c4,920$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Yes32c4,123$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Yes55c4,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c3,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.441,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No68c3,824$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.496737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No64c3,766$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.694369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No70c3,727$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.171428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No54c3,202$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.1327141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.9525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c2,807$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.3230057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No68c2,570$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.544553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes45c2,495$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.9318748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No73c2,313$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7007759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c2,187$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.0372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3802951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes32c1,997$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3582941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No38c1,939$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.8642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No50c1,640$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.879660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed No50c1,500$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.353537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0209042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No9c1,500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13315735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x03fd…83f7backed No76c1,398$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes38c1,368$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No39c1,367$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5820059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No27c1,350$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c1,250$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.514975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes39c1,242$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.8641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No45c1,120$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No29c1,113$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c1,081$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.431526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb128…ed0dbacked Yes30c999.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c948.34$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3933…4afabacked No68c810.47$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c770.92$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c741.93$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No72c718.18$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.098958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4763148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9204…7bd5backed No35c639.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.72828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No47c617.02$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes56c613.98$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.595747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c599.97$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba3d…4b28backed Yes31c575.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed No71c568.65$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c557.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.1428824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed No47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb26…5e0abacked No69c521$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No44c519$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No67c510$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No67c495.5$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.997557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No68c444$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9221548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Yes31c442.42$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No48c435.01$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4910053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5710736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes70c424.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.043040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c403$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes54c400$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes28c380.96$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c379.56$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.311,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No68c378.15$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.