TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No79c13,428$10,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.9496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c10,737$8,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.841,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes9c8,627$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes35c4,115$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.541353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes31c3,711$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes10c3,150$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.572520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Yes33c3,094$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes31c3,092$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.62240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.137248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes10c2,839$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes33c2,036$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.994671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c1,848$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6112731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes31c1,722$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.715131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes30c1,624$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.17546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No70c1,601$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c1,500$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9918951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,473$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8810940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No61c1,167$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.017763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed No66c1,105$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes36c1,078$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3410451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No69c1,015$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.54971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No65c994.16$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.917160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c908.98$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c900$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c889.49$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes31c860.39$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.726848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes31c803.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes37c780.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes31c773.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.653256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes38c760.11$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c758.02$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.49950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c745.04$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.219149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked No70c736$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.433953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.43887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked No69c674.94$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.235642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes31c593.71$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.052842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Yes35c556.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes39c543.46$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.953923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf95…7e16backed Yes36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No69c527.88$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes37c523.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.42528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No69c506.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.166659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No65c489.5$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes27c477.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.383324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes31c477.72$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Yes31c471$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.01333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No70c436.46$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.941625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28af…3875backed Yes2c424.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes31c420.55$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.372860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No65c414.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.785168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes36c398.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.694746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes36c398.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6915244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes36c398.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6914752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No70c396.17$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes37c392.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.311513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-73.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes36c389.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.238453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes36c387.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.647548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes31c386.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.834847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yes39c365.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5850%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes13c365.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.457837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes31c364.89$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.111435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No69c343.16$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.38666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c336.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes30c325.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes9c324.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No65c319.47$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.331822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes30c319.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes31c312.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.828041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes31c312.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes15c295.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9210242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes31c287.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.158640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.166735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e30…52e3backed Yes37c260.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes31c242$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.025632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes33c241.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes40c238.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.438052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c230.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes37c223.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes31c216.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.18453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No70c202.56$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.771883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c201.38$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes35c197.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No69c173.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.914555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.935525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9312232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…92c1backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.932356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.934334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.