TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes28c147,846$41,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,344.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c50,254$36,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,419.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No72c40,838$29,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,434.767160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes25c29,099$7,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,312.953815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c20,789$15,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,544.0696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c13,656$9,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.5619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c13,119$9,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No72c8,910$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.173852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c8,577$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.2593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No73c8,546$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.5815244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No72c6,783$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.5714752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c5,347$3,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.5449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes28c3,551$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.353423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No72c3,414$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.894746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes30c3,193$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76df…b9c5backed No73c3,190$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c3,121$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No71c2,992$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.684339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes27c2,874$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c2,818$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.036365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No74c2,381$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.0110451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes22c2,273$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.812520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes28c2,034$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.021625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No73c1,685$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.845162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.365054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No72c1,357$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.682763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes3c1,191$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9315844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No72c1,092$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8514651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes37c1,077$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.314845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c900$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No72c889.15$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No73c881.21$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.931776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb836…fa1cbacked No73c855.91$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes28c850.87$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No72c767.26$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.832360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes28c717.6$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9312035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.368644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.363537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No72c680.34$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.622268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c605.81$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No73c601.1$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes34c420.16$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf95…7e16backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No73c404.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.163663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes33c383.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.693324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes29c371.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes18c369.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.22524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes27c356.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.616735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes28c342.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.92060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.687837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c300.72$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes24c300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.515632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes12c296.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes28c290.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.333026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4714159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No78c267.46$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8522373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c255.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…0eaabacked Yes28c255.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes28c245.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.634158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes28c239.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.986822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes28c205.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes18c195.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No73c193.81$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes28c191.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bf…70d9backed No73c189.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…bbc5backed No73c179.05$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes22c177.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc35…2329backed No73c175.12$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.847538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c170.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.949950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7fd…3a1cbacked No73c164.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed No73c163.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes27c147.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes21c143.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c141.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No73c140.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.496258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c136$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes23c135.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.393571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No68c131.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.345168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes28c121.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.911421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c114.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Yes26c110.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes30c104.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes24c103$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c100.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0918951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.