Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33618d6e9ae215607695797623226a66ec6946db2311dd73989e8db6a5e673e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 10,355$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 11c | 9,848$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.55 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,385$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 7,359$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.18 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 77c | 7,193$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.44 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 6,977$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.7 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 23c | 6,481$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 4,627$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 4,474$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.85 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 79c | 4,386$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 79c | 3,761$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 20c | 1,790$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,658$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 24c | 1,656$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 1,474$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 1,375$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,367$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,296$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yes | 22c | 999.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 79c | 964.27$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 842.34$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 24c | 823.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 11c | 802.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 77c | 745.35$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…4568backed Yes | 11c | 696.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 77c | 645.33$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 23c | 517.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 77c | 516.26$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 3c | 511.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 23c | 503.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 24c | 472.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 22c | 451.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…2d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 442.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed No | 77c | 437.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…9b75backed Yes | 24c | 433.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…c278backed Yes | 23c | 432.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 24c | 416.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…f17ebacked Yes | 24c | 376.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 10c | 374.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 78c | 355.54$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…b614backed Yes | 24c | 354.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 78c | 344.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked Yes | 24c | 320.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked No | 78c | 316.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed No | 78c | 293.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 278$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 78c | 254.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 9c | 249.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed No | 78c | 247.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 241.8$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 77c | 232.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 225.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 22c | 223.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 23c | 220.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…a7d5backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 7c | 199.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Yes | 23c | 173.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…2039backed No | 77c | 164.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 79c | 164.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…cf2dbacked No | 77c | 159.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 155.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked No | 77c | 151.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 23c | 149.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…a7b2backed Yes | 24c | 149.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…42d8backed No | 77c | 148.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 23c | 146.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…227ebacked No | 77c | 145.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…af88backed Yes | 23c | 144.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…439ebacked No | 77c | 141.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4f34backed No | 77c | 137.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7326…1b30backed Yes | 24c | 135.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…3b47backed No | 77c | 134.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 23c | 133.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…69c8backed No | 77c | 132.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 23c | 129.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…b09cbacked No | 77c | 126.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…6854backed No | 77c | 123.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a78…b449backed Yes | 24c | 122.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…3134backed No | 77c | 120.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…27e4backed Yes | 24c | 115.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…8be2backed No | 77c | 111.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…87dcbacked No | 77c | 110.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 23c | 108.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…173dbacked Yes | 24c | 101.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…08d9backed Yes | 24c | 100.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 30cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…eb92backed Yes | 24c | 97.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 77c | 95.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…53c8backed No | 77c | 94.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…7648backed Yes | 24c | 91.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 22c | 90.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.