TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,460 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd37…e117backed Yes0c13,335$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes7c10,436$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.473815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,254$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes5c1,854$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.751020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes28c1,762$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.491526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,730$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes29c1,717$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.44546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes28c1,564$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.894030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c993.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c707.13$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes29c583.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.783141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c488.73$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes24c442.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2712920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No73c408.12$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.191668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes28c354.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c354.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c318.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes3c309.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes27c299.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.998958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes11c295$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9714347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes16c249.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6721054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes28c248.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaec…f49bbacked Yes28c217.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes31c216.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.752437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c198.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.619652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No72c189.37$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.025736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes28c177.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.654845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4f…0935backed Yes12c169.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe371…036ebacked No73c151.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…af88backed Yes28c144.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes28c140.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.724647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed No73c136.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c119.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3918125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3793…3a8ebacked Yes28c107.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes28c106.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.791127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes28c106.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.796850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes28c102.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes28c102.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.711428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d9…91a2backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.984379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes28c99.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes30c99.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.781533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6e…04e6backed Yes28c99.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes13c89.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.537949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes28c88.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes28c88.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…5546backed Yes29c85.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes27c83.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe681…cba8backed No74c75.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e6…3cd2backed Yes28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8610242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e9…859abacked Yes28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No73c68.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.372045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes24c67.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.064847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c62.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5918253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a78…60d3backed Yes28c53.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…67e1backed No73c52.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes29c47.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No71c45.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.526070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed No73c40.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Yes30c39.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6efb…e90fbacked No73c38.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x411b…fb21backed No73c38.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x925b…83c2backed No73c37.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked No73c34.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2028…28a4backed No73c31.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f9…e60cbacked No73c30.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1885…1fe6backed No73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked No74c29.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c28.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No73c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.333672.2%26 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No73c24.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c23.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c21.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b77…80e6backed No73c20.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No73c16.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.412382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked No73c13.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.