TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe371…036e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.19
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$95.63
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$36.14
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.24
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$54.09
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$159.92
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$426.81
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$98.95
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100.48
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$54.74
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$321
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$207.34
Jets vs. Capitalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$103.89
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+125.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+566.7%+$84.49
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$228.91
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$118.83
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+143.9%+$392.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$70.41
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$47.14
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$66.28
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$123.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+62.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$182.55
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.9
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+150%+$80.94
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.33
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$32.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)backed Hibernian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.