TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$560,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights57c242,498$137,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,772.2139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Devils43c106,274$45,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,697.6517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights57c71,122$40,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,582.6311955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Devils43c45,000$19,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,3504650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights54c34,477$18,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,014.5256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Devils43c32,777$14,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,094.1124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Devils43c32,340$13,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,906.248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights76c28,198$21,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,675.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Devils47c17,902$8,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,413.8730152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x744a…ccb0backed Golden Knights5c16,632$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,800.41100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Devils44c15,472$6,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,858.2338844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Devils47c12,600$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,92228353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils43c12,500$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Devils1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Devils22c10,030$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.4132744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Devils45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils46c9,270$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.791,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Devils47c8,100$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80714940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Golden Knights55c7,490$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights57c7,400$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.1438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils45c7,362$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.911,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Golden Knights54c6,156$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.5327548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights53c5,662$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.1485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Devils43c5,540$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.224654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Devils25c5,417$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.8726344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Devils21c5,068$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.9327143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Devils44c5,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils46c4,347$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6228652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Devils47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Devils43c4,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.8522546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Devils44c3,300$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45210451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Devils27c2,988$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.6961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Devils26c2,738$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71212552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Devils47c2,520$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.422150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Golden Knights54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights53c2,386$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.3663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Devils44c2,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Devils45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8901855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils46c2,000$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.6797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…808dbacked Devils46c1,980$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94aa…067dbacked Golden Knights54c1,950$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils44c1,884$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.282,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Devils45c1,751$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7888253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils43c1,636$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.531,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Devils46c1,543$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Devils46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Devils45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67538046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c1,443$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Golden Knights56c1,349$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.4719555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Devils24c1,303$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Golden Knights57c1,300$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5591973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Devils45c1,300$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils27c1,251$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Devils48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Devils44c1,230$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.851,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Golden Knights54c1,208$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.669052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Devils45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Devils43c1,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd6…014cbacked Devils45c1,032$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d5…178fbacked Golden Knights55c1,032$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.28850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Devils46c1,015$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.537546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Devils44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights53c991.22$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce3…6e9cbacked Golden Knights56c959$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe371…036ebacked Devils46c927.85$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f1…5d15backed Golden Knights55c927.27$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Devils26c778.01$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.946233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Devils45c774.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Devils43c766$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.381,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Devils47c763$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.981,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Devils46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights54c643.16$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Devils47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Devils46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Devils46c567.39$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26114148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Devils44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked Devils24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Golden Knights78c499.91$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils45c477$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Devils43c465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9511833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b62…2d30backed Devils47c455$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…aaf0backed Golden Knights54c445$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Devils46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.447051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0f…6d04backed Golden Knights54c435$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…5a55backed Devils46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007243.1%31 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Devils46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6422248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Golden Knights55c431.25$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2520047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Devils45c430.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.827338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb621…8b6ebacked Devils47c425$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed Devils45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Devils46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Devils49c378.16$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.378952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Golden Knights55c377.33$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.819851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Devils45c354$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2237649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Devils47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.