TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Penn State Nittany Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Penn State Nittany Lions66c14,000$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.9612364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Penn State Nittany Lions3c8,591$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.511,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c8,537$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,634.411,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penn State Nittany Lions32c4,810$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.923,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6194…88b2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights73c4,280$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights33c3,100$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.9722043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c2,973$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.841827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Penn State Nittany Lions67c2,942$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.511,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c2,347$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.8392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Penn State Nittany Lions1c1,974$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Penn State Nittany Lions30c1,883$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.8455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions59c1,792$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.5812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Penn State Nittany Lions8c1,660$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.520548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Penn State Nittany Lions18c1,620$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions65c1,619$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.782,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c1,570$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0525349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions68c1,546$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.962759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.692123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c1,458$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.283135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights37c1,444$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.161154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Penn State Nittany Lions18c1,389$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penn State Nittany Lions26c1,371$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Penn State Nittany Lions66c1,279$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.4137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Penn State Nittany Lions7c1,180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions12c1,155$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.292,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn State Nittany Lions30c963.64$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2891,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c919.45$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c911.21$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.517057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Penn State Nittany Lions28c827.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.692,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions59c766.09$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.72665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c742$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.721,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions25c688.12$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Penn State Nittany Lions25c674.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions12c640.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7725337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions16c621.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c615.4$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Penn State Nittany Lions18c606.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions7c578.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.991,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c571$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c570.57$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Penn State Nittany Lions11c563.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions26c559.37$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.441,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights33c533.32$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.296549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c470.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.276550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Penn State Nittany Lions66c443.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.661,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights50c440.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Penn State Nittany Lions8c433$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Penn State Nittany Lions66c430.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions19c399.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Penn State Nittany Lions9c388.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c386.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Penn State Nittany Lions42c376.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.16457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c367$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.551,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c352.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Penn State Nittany Lions34c339.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.442850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions10c334.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1988333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Penn State Nittany Lions45c288.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…eec3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.254341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights57c272$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn State Nittany Lions13c271.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x593d…198abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c270.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.594100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights33c262.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions65c232.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Penn State Nittany Lions24c228.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8f…30dbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights60c227.68$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights68c223.01$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights40c216.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.277319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights58c200.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.021,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights65c200.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.616154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dca…ec14backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Penn State Nittany Lions66c157$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.991,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions66c151.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.513743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Penn State Nittany Lions67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c147$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0231647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions67c128.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2415252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.791848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e67…7566backed Penn State Nittany Lions39c107.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…036ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c106.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c105.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.335646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…035ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights68c102.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Penn State Nittany Lions32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c98.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3619860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Penn State Nittany Lions41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Penn State Nittany Lions65c92.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Penn State Nittany Lions19c90.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28234.1%28 W · 54 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.247352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.