TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe88…035e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$30
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$55.07
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.15
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.7%+$49.37
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+150%+$51.55
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.2%+$66.28
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.25
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$61.97
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.52
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$68.72
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.53
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.03
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+111.6%+$279.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$89.18
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$44.52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.