TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lipscomb Bisons vs. Bellarmine Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lipscomb Bisonsof Lipscomb Bisons, Bellarmine Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Lipscomb Bisons38c5,052$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bellarmine Knights65c4,754$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.742,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lipscomb Bisons64c4,556$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.291,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Bellarmine Knights50c2,192$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lipscomb Bisons9c1,491$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.061,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bellarmine Knights59c1,353$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.371,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bellarmine Knights50c808.49$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.812,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bellarmine Knights37c631.9$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.181,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lipscomb Bisons21c616$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bellarmine Knights31c516.54$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2834943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Lipscomb Bisons61c494$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bellarmine Knights45c393.24$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Lipscomb Bisons50c333.84$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lipscomb Bisons44c285.53$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.852,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lipscomb Bisons58c264.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.752,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lipscomb Bisons61c227.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Bellarmine Knights30c210.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1170936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bellarmine Knights39c207.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.161,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bellarmine Knights38c200.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bellarmine Knights40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Bellarmine Knights9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Lipscomb Bisons59c188.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.151060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bellarmine Knights39c176.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.531,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lipscomb Bisons38c173.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1225337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lipscomb Bisons65c170.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.752,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bellarmine Knights9c169.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.383993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Lipscomb Bisons62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Bellarmine Knights38c152.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.826940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Lipscomb Bisons71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lipscomb Bisons48c139.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Lipscomb Bisons39c116.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Bellarmine Knights42c100.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bellarmine Knights52c95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.071,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Lipscomb Bisons62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7123363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Lipscomb Bisons62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6583350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Lipscomb Bisons61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.416551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Lipscomb Bisons62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lipscomb Bisons41c59.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bellarmine Knights31c59.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Lipscomb Bisons41c54.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bellarmine Knights25c53.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4235852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bellarmine Knights50c46.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.171,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Bellarmine Knights39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…035ebacked Lipscomb Bisons56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bellarmine Knights40c30.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.032,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Lipscomb Bisons42c30.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Lipscomb Bisons60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d7…ec4abacked Lipscomb Bisons58c28.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bellarmine Knights39c27.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Lipscomb Bisons75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.54930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc484…af66backed Bellarmine Knights79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff2…b6ecbacked Lipscomb Bisons75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.