NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeeea1db1706da6d32c7462bd562bdc1d24477b25ee353e7881593a747c31588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 12,583$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 45c | 6,779$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.55 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,830$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,119$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 391.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 21c | 316.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 285.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 44c | 254.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 43c | 238$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 229.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 26c | 148.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…035ebacked Over | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 42c | 112.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…c607backed Over | 58c | 108.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 48c | 103.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 91.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed Over | 55c | 89.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 83.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 46c | 79.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 79.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 78.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 64.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 64.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 65c | 61.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 54.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 52.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 50.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Under | 47c | 32.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…e28fbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 31.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 74c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…49b0backed Over | 73c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.