NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce1aa9dfac8ed56375295fa85a40373ae6b1d8feae64bf7cc1e3ba50a2b75e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 50c | 37,732$18,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,971.65 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 12,066$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 9,993$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.44 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 49c | 6,190$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 4,311$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.42 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,103$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,934$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Over | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.37 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 845.56$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 16c | 792.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 751.69$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 21c | 707.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 583$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 459.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 454$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 255.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…00c8backed Over | 15c | 249.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 235.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 219.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 185.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Under | 51c | 173.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Under | 74c | 150.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 34c | 94.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Over | 49c | 44.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Over | 49c | 44.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Over | 49c | 42.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Over | 49c | 42.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 41.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 37.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 30.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 51c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 78c | 22.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.