TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Timberwolves, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers51c51,343$26,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,158.0729650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers51c44,166$22,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,641.5827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves49c40,482$19,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,844.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves49c38,781$19,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,002.6859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves49c34,654$16,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,917.1336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Timberwolves50c33,064$16,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,528.382147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves49c19,724$9,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,664.6243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves49c9,200$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5081,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers53c7,295$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.731,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves49c6,929$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves50c3,719$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed 76ers50c2,967$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers51c2,480$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked 76ers50c2,044$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.0122643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers51c2,035$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves49c1,962$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.381,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers54c1,490$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves49c1,343$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.071,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves47c1,343$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers51c1,275$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.5164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked 76ers51c980.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3624050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves50c899.18$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Timberwolves8c617.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5719434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked 76ers51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Timberwolves50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers54c551.85$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed 76ers50c530.46$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.233548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves50c522.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers52c500$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed 76ers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24528929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves49c467.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Timberwolves50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1665339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers51c388$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed 76ers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6236450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers50c381.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.631,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves50c361.19$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves44c335.62$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.291,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked 76ers51c316.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9652242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2695…832abacked 76ers63c287.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.492580%20 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ff…807cbacked 76ers59c278.64$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.32479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves49c250.1$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Timberwolves50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed 76ers50c227.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers53c219.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed 76ers51c196.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6152146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Timberwolves18c170.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Timberwolves50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed 76ers50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed 76ers54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1523847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers69c144.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed 76ers62c137$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed 76ers78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7361957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed 76ers54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6321743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed 76ers54c125.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves21c125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.752449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves31c118.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.061,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Timberwolves47c115.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves12c106.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers50c105.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.571,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed 76ers58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4512458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed 76ers50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.512250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Timberwolves50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked 76ers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0443447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e93…0078backed Timberwolves22c97.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.193324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed 76ers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1521164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked 76ers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves23c91.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Timberwolves49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.164139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed 76ers51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Timberwolves50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Timberwolves50c78.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1712542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves49c74.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed 76ers50c68.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0530151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked 76ers54c62.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9650648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Timberwolves49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves42c56.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.713,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed 76ers53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed 76ers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5633249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves49c53.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed 76ers62c51.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.983,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed 76ers51c50.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5529352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed 76ers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Timberwolves50c47.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5418250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves50c43.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Timberwolves50c41.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7148852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Timberwolves49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked 76ers69c40.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.717844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.