NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5735109e332972c14d953e8ae316a6ed7a75ef7767f526c4d8198c7b605b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Timberwolves, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers | 51c | 51,343$26,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,158.07 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers | 51c | 44,166$22,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,641.58 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40,482$19,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,844.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 49c | 38,781$19,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,002.68 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 49c | 34,654$16,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,917.13 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 33,064$16,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,528.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked 76ers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 49c | 19,724$9,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,664.62 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,200$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers | 53c | 7,295$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.73 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,929$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,719$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed 76ers | 50c | 2,967$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.6 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 51c | 2,480$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked 76ers | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.01 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 51c | 2,035$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,962$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.38 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 54c | 1,490$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,343$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,343$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked 76ers | 51c | 980.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.36 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 899.18$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Timberwolves | 8c | 617.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked 76ers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers | 54c | 551.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed 76ers | 50c | 530.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 50c | 522.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed 76ers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 467.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 51c | 388$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed 76ers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 76ers | 50c | 381.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 361.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 44c | 335.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked 76ers | 51c | 316.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2695…832abacked 76ers | 63c | 287.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…807cbacked 76ers | 59c | 278.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 250.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Timberwolves | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed 76ers | 50c | 227.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 53c | 219.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed 76ers | 51c | 196.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Timberwolves | 18c | 170.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Timberwolves | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed 76ers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed 76ers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed 76ers | 69c | 144.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed 76ers | 62c | 137$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed 76ers | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed 76ers | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed 76ers | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 118.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 115.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 76ers | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 12c | 106.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 76ers | 50c | 105.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed 76ers | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed 76ers | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked 76ers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Timberwolves | 22c | 97.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed 76ers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked 76ers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 23c | 91.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Timberwolves | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed 76ers | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 78.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 74.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed 76ers | 50c | 68.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked 76ers | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 42c | 56.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed 76ers | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed 76ers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed 76ers | 62c | 51.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 76ers | 51c | 50.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 76ers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed 76ers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 47.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves | 50c | 43.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Timberwolves | 50c | 41.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked 76ers | 69c | 40.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.