NBA · resolved market
Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3cd20401b174b160bf9b41e9afbb06534c710e39665c35dcb55dac4f3fa9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Yes | 37c | 3,888$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 62c | 3,716$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.96 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 60c | 2,785$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.85 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…6632backed Yes | 40c | 2,150$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Yes | 40c | 965.13$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…f305backed Yes | 38c | 725.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…2347backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 28 | 100%28 W · 0 L | +9.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…af51backed Yes | 35c | 490$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 65c | 370$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 39c | 350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…1c71backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 63c | 201.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 156$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Yes | 38c | 59.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 63c | 47.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked No | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.