NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ac11a85ddc54dc75af0174c19d19788ec2384865c965ce50e0ae5037e03569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Timberwolves, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 73,595$38,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,267.81 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 48c | 28,470$13,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,935.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked 76ers | 47c | 17,999$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 55c | 16,780$9,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218.93 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 15,433$8,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 14,818$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers | 48c | 10,174$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…7554backed 76ers | 48c | 9,771$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed 76ers | 48c | 9,637$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.5 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 47c | 7,269$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers | 47c | 5,353$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.6 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers | 47c | 5,100$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed 76ers | 47c | 4,524$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.57 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 47c | 4,432$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers | 45c | 4,429$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked 76ers | 47c | 4,270$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.56 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed 76ers | 47c | 3,180$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.4 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 47c | 2,925$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked 76ers | 47c | 2,434$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers | 50c | 1,833$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,805$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,600$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed 76ers | 48c | 1,509$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.75 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 47c | 1,176$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked 76ers | 47c | 1,140$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.29 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,097$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.41 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed 76ers | 47c | 1,090$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.7 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 76ers | 48c | 881.3$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed 76ers | 49c | 840$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 824$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 782.73$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed 76ers | 47c | 749$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.97 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 334.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 326.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 47c | 315.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed 76ers | 56c | 269.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed 76ers | 47c | 242.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…3fe1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 238.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…9901backed 76ers | 49c | 236.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked 76ers | 48c | 229.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 44c | 221.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…8d6dbacked 76ers | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…eaa0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 207.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…43d0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 205.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed 76ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 44c | 174.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked 76ers | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Timberwolves | 53c | 158.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed 76ers | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 48c | 151$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed 76ers | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 47c | 149$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Timberwolves | 53c | 148.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed 76ers | 45c | 146.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed 76ers | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed 76ers | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed 76ers | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 47c | 119.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed 76ers | 45c | 111.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed 76ers | 47c | 107.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked 76ers | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed 76ers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked 76ers | 47c | 99.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 76ers | 45c | 80.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 64.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked 76ers | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers | 46c | 62.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 61.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed 76ers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked 76ers | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Timberwolves | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.