NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995167669368fe2657e00c107aa0ac14a691ff28ced688537ceee169b6a1086e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.17 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 5,250$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,902$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,147$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 19c | 1,127$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,020$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 655.1$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 573.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 437$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 436.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 43c | 195.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 184.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 122.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 119.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 117.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 113.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 68.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 56c | 61.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 46c | 55.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 45c | 47.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 41.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 46c | 41.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 39.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 51c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 21.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…1225backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5this page
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.