NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40fbe32744d3d6b45fa7adab1f5e83de063f3c536fcfe6b67ac9794f034746a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,034,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,167,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,034,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 734 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 31c | 373,134$115,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,508.91 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 69c | 306,460$211,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,002.61 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Mavericks | 30c | 287,163$85,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,960.04 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 70c | 150,000$105,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Celtics | 70c | 142,857$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,856.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Mavericks | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 31c | 58,355$18,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,223.24 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 30c | 56,000$16,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,960 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 71c | 44,834$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,834.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 31c | 41,932$12,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,830.27 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 69c | 41,556$28,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,919.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mavericks | 31c | 33,832$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,487.94 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 70c | 33,366$23,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Celtics | 71c | 30,366$21,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,806.2 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Celtics | 71c | 28,066$19,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139.7 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 71c | 26,000$18,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640.84 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 70c | 25,639$17,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 69c | 24,954$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 69c | 22,494$15,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Mavericks | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Mavericks | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Celtics | 71c | 19,999$14,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.71 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Celtics | 70c | 18,443$12,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.86 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 69c | 17,395$12,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Celtics | 75c | 17,391$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.55 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Mavericks | 31c | 16,863$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 29c | 15,719$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Mavericks | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Celtics | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Celtics | 71c | 15,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 69c | 14,500$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.51 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 70c | 14,051$9,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.12 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 1c | 12,045$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 1c | 10,793$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 73c | 10,698$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 1c | 10,554$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics | 70c | 10,500$7,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Mavericks | 29c | 10,325$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 29c | 10,021$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics | 70c | 9,623$6,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.01 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 15c | 9,191$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.47 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 14c | 9,066$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.88 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Celtics | 71c | 8,950$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.44 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 1c | 8,470$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 71c | 8,235$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Mavericks | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Celtics | 68c | 6,999$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…6b37backed Celtics | 71c | 6,926$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics | 71c | 6,628$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.1 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 1c | 6,597$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 71c | 6,565$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.84 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks | 1c | 6,547$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Mavericks | 29c | 6,513$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…3266backed Celtics | 70c | 5,771$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 11c | 5,665$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,627$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 29c | 5,377$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.45 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Mavericks | 12c | 5,246$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks | 31c | 5,153$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.08 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Mavericks | 29c | 4,937$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.73 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Mavericks | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 70c | 4,168$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Mavericks | 1c | 4,071$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,050$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics | 70c | 4,020$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.72 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Celtics | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Mavericks | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Celtics | 69c | 3,960$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.72 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Mavericks | 32c | 3,960$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.33 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Celtics | 79c | 3,785$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks | 29c | 3,784$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.44 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Mavericks | 31c | 3,733$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.39 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 68c | 3,557$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…0a1abacked Celtics | 71c | 3,518$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Mavericks | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Mavericks | 1c | 3,461$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 30c | 3,400$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.38 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Celtics | 70c | 3,357$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.1 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Mavericks | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks | 31c | 3,219$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.93 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks | 29c | 3,206$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.07 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Mavericks | 13c | 3,180$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Celtics | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Celtics | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 69c | 2,915$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.74 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Celtics | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,757$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.05 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Celtics | 70c | 2,659$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.7 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Mavericksthis page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.