NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e2a67e2c6bc8fd7bdce8e4ffbbbb29046489f177651565713e64afc7522446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 50c | 59,657$29,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,990.9 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 35,386$17,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,711.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 24,600$12,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,323.3 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 49c | 14,331$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.07 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…7e57backed Under | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…b9e9backed Under | 50c | 10,422$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 8,355$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.54 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 8,170$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 4,878$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 4,703$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 3,789$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,422$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 3,270$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.98 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 50c | 2,877$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.39 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 13c | 2,871$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.67 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,338$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.76 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 2,108$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 51c | 1,554$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,464$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 1,138$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 1,032$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Over | 49c | 962.39$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 937.94$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 52c | 788.34$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.76 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 747.51$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 622.3$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 618.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 50c | 604.11$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 582.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 557$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 528.75$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 527$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 426.47$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 419.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 56c | 359.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 330$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 329$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Under | 50c | 231$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 50c | 202.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 50c | 202.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…5016backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 177.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 156.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 51c | 146.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 10c | 118.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 117.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb6…4171backed Under | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 82.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Over | 51c | 75.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…d905backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 72.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 68.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Under | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 51c | 46.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 46c | 46.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 46.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 46.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Celtics vs. MavericksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.