NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d15a6bed2ceb5bfff6ab74ad6a939ca699359be3ba669ae55a83b979eacb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 51c | 31,507$16,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,341.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…c02fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 14,169$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 10,691$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 7,561$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 51c | 6,846$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.65 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 45c | 6,539$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 50c | 5,814$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.05 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 4,610$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Celtics | 52c | 4,166$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,041$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Celtics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,188$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,792$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 51c | 1,595$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,188$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,093$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.51 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Celtics | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 52c | 922.93$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.01 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Mavericks | 50c | 920.2$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.1 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 538$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Mavericks | 48c | 528.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics | 53c | 523.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.42 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…d905backed Mavericks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Celtics | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Celtics | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Mavericks | 50c | 414.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…fecabacked Celtics | 60c | 396.27$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 35c | 385.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 54c | 371.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…bc09backed Mavericks | 50c | 341.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Celtics | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Celtics | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Celtics | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Mavericks | 35c | 274.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Celtics | 54c | 260.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 46c | 247.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Mavericks | 50c | 210.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 51c | 205.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Mavericks | 50c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 200.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Celtics | 55c | 200.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Mavericks | 50c | 185.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Mavericks | 46c | 143.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Celtics | 52c | 136.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Mavericks | 29c | 121.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Celtics | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Celtics | 54c | 105.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Celtics | 53c | 101.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Celtics | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 52c | 75.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Celtics | 54c | 74.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Celtics | 52c | 73.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 73.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…0a65backed Celtics | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Celtics | 53c | 63.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Celtics | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 48c | 60.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Celtics | 51c | 59.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Celtics | 52c | 47.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Celtics | 52c | 45.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Celtics | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Celtics | 52c | 41.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Mavericks | 46c | 40.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Celtics | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Mavericks | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Celtics | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 52c | 32.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Celtics | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Celtics | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…9f51backed Mavericks | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Mavericks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Celtics | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…b641backed Mavericks | 48c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Celtics | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…c550backed Celtics | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Celtics | 54c | 26.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Celtics | 51c | 26.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked Celtics | 53c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 46c | 22.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Mavericks | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c6dabacked Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Celtics | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Celtics vs. MavericksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.