NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07c1b511b43d1f76778d369121056404ae7173be7863de23e2153b77042bd7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics | 49c | 20,004$9,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.26 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 49c | 19,615$9,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 13,235$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 51c | 9,416$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.08 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,365$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks | 52c | 6,008$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.04 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…f028backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,651$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Celtics | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,156$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,211$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Mavericks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…fecabacked Celtics | 67c | 576.25$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Mavericks | 54c | 552.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks | 9c | 488.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 50c | 430.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 53c | 428.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Mavericks | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Celtics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 48c | 399.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mavericks | 52c | 339.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 49c | 317.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Celtics | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Celtics | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Mavericks | 51c | 217.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 52c | 202.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks | 52c | 155.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 49c | 137.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 48c | 113.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mavericks | 9c | 111.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 52c | 110.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Celtics | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Mavericks | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 51c | 67.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Celtics | 47c | 67.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Celtics | 49c | 61.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Celtics | 50c | 59.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Mavericks | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 57.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 51c | 54.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Celtics | 72c | 53.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Celtics | 75c | 50.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 47c | 50.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Celtics | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Mavericks | 31c | 49.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 55c | 49.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 44.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Celtics | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Celtics | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…3b3ebacked Celtics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Celtics | 55c | 41.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…f3c1backed Celtics | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Mavericks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 48c | 35.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Mavericks | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 31.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…f82ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Mavericks | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Celtics | 49c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Celtics | 49c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Mavericks | 53c | 26.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…ebb2backed Celtics | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Mavericks | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Celtics | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…87e5backed Celtics | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 72c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics | 50c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Mavericks | 51c | 22.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Mavericks | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Celtics | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 54c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…3a66backed Mavericks | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Celtics vs. MavericksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.