TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics49c20,004$9,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,202.2644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics49c19,615$9,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,027.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks51c13,235$6,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,756.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks51c9,416$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.0877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c6,365$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks52c6,008$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.0466250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mavericks51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb090…f028backed Mavericks51c3,651$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Celtics49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Celtics50c2,222$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11139051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks51c2,156$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics48c1,895$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.73,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks52c1,258$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.162,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks51c1,211$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Mavericks51c1,061$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Mavericks51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe668…fecabacked Celtics67c576.25$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Mavericks54c552.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks9c488.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.331,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics50c430.04$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks53c428.16$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22568542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Mavericks52c423.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Celtics48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics48c399.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Mavericks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Mavericks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks50c374$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Mavericks52c339.76$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics49c317.32$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Celtics48c312.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.769247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Celtics49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5318343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Mavericks51c217.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Celtics48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks52c202.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.362,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks52c155.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.591,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics49c137.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks53c130.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6963142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics48c113.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.263,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Mavericks9c111.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1924846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks52c110.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.711,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Celtics49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Mavericks20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks51c67.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.661,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Celtics47c67.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9616849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Mavericks55c61.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Celtics49c61.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9221948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Celtics50c59.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8411651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Mavericks50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.764755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics50c57.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.872,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mavericks51c54.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Celtics72c53.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0350651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Celtics75c50.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6247045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Celtics47c50.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Celtics49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Mavericks31c49.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics55c49.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks53c44.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6148451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Celtics50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2153945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Celtics48c41.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d06…3b3ebacked Celtics48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113d…a76bbacked Celtics55c41.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.514266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked Mavericks51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.216553.9%89 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Celtics50c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Mavericks55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics48c35.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.663,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Mavericks54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711938.7%46 W · 73 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Mavericks51c31.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0340960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…f82ebacked Mavericks53c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Mavericks52c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Celtics49c27.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8216443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Celtics49c27.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8215040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Mavericks53c26.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x049b…ebb2backed Celtics48c26.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Mavericks58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Celtics50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3147…87e5backed Celtics49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics72c22.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics50c22.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Mavericks51c22.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Mavericks52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4412560%75 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Celtics48c21.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0719750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics54c20.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c83…3a66backed Mavericks53c18.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.