TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x338f…c6da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.59
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noah FA vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.