TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62ba…ef56backed Over52c19,045$9,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,991.094358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c14,269$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,483.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0d…659dbacked Over49c6,612$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under54c4,016$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.4145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c4,002$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c3,907$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.932,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,439$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c2,892$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c3…bd47backed Under51c2,482$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8908…ea9abacked Under51c2,258$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd04…6ddbbacked Under51c1,872$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over39c1,750$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c1,379$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over26c1,341$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4419434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over10c1,209$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.491,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under56c1,092$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c1,080$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over10c1,058$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.31,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c900$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4353,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under61c848$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over51c691.08$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.025865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c673$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under66c629.66$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c533.94$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under51c472.92$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0914252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c472.17$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Under72c424.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4615651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under54c422.22$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8abe…61debacked Over4c396.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under62c391.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Under77c383.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6216550.3%83 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over36c379.46$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Under76c371.15$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5527846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c352.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over21c344.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.332,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c327.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c320.75$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c281.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5228348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c277.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.772,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under61c271.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.027247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over45c222.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Under57c215.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.632445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over53c203.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0121357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Over48c202.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.584537.8%17 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…93f2backed Under79c170$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over18c168.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8524330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed0…c618backed Over46c160.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under53c157.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed Over12c155$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under67c148.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2431249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under64c145.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3321642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under43c141.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0928616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under25c135$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.81,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c133.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.581,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over47c131$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5754351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over46c123$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.587353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Under60c103.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1117353.8%93 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Under54c101.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.978357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under49c101.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over40c98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.26841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under26c97.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1818957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Under74c87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.622272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over51c75.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3452052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under56c72.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.071,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.366541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.559560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over21c62.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c62.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.711,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under74c59.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c57.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa085…96d5backed Over42c54.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7890%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed Over59c40.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Under49c39.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.992777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.023961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Under54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Under53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.984353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4935…32aebacked Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d7…0b48backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Under54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over50c22.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338f…c6dabacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1adfbacked Under65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.926943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.