NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05f80f879f43881823e3c6e3b758d5c5a6e123847a4fac43c9cf79240244db1

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Raptors, Pacers
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $408,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $449,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pacers	51c	96,858$49,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,364.93	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors	49c	64,545$31,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,918.75	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Raptors	50c	31,833$15,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,916.41	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers	51c	26,804$13,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,551.44	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Raptors	45c	24,333$10,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,383.17	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Raptors	48c	21,873$10,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,373.92	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers	52c	19,861$10,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,381.63	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Raptors	45c	17,650$7,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,707.5	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Raptors	48c	17,370$8,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,032.4	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors	50c	14,925$7,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,462.69	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers	50c	14,565$7,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,282.43	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	48c	13,659$6,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,088.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Pacers	51c	11,754$5,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,994.54	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors	48c	8,407$4,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,371.76	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f7…b2e9backed Pacers	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers	51c	7,599$3,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,845.94	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Raptors	48c	6,369$3,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,311.88	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pacers	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.99	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Pacers	56c	5,641$3,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,178.55	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Pacers	51c	5,580$2,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,845.93	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Pacers	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Raptors	47c	4,616$2,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,432.1	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pacers	57c	4,386$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pacers	53c	4,334$2,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,296.82	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e7…b945backed Raptors	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.32	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors	50c	4,163$2,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.5	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Raptors	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Raptors	50c	4,020$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.95	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	49c	3,858$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,967.5	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7084…0ae5backed Raptors	50c	3,377$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,688.64	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	53c	2,910$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	45c	2,663$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.25	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Pacers	49c	2,483$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.77	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pacers	51c	2,324$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.21	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Raptors	47c	2,163$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.38	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers	51c	2,124$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pacers	53c	2,079$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Pacers	50c	2,020$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors	47c	1,919$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.18	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f35…5016backed Raptors	51c	1,819$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.45	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	+98.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Raptors	51c	1,640$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.6	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pacers	51c	1,586$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.68	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Raptors	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers	51c	1,198$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.32	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Raptors	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.4	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Pacers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Raptors	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers	51c	983.02$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Raptors	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Raptors	48c	840.56$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.09	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Pacers	54c	748.15$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers	51c	673.44$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.54	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Raptors	46c	663.49$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.75	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers	50c	600$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.71	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Pacers	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers	50c	521.23$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.19	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Raptors	50c	503.17$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.56	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Raptors	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.09	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Pacers	53c	440$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.2	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors	48c	438.91$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.09	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Raptors	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pacers	53c	375.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pacers	54c	356.99$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.78	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers	49c	320.72$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.1	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors	47c	319.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.14	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Raptors	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Pacers	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers	50c	299.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Raptors	50c	207.84$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.92	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors	50c	204.46$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.94	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pacers	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Pacers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	237	48.1%114 W · 123 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Raptors	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afb…594fbacked Pacers	54c	185.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Pacers	54c	183.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Pacers	54c	144.44$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Raptors	50c	140$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.7	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Pacers	54c	122.22$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Raptors	43c	108.5$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.03	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Raptors	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Raptors	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf97…4653backed Pacers	49c	99.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…4f00backed Raptors	50c	98.26$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.13	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raptors	46c	81.95$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.49	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Pacers	53c	75.59$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	409	60.6%248 W · 161 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Pacers	53c	75.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4e…5ecbbacked Raptors	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pacers	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Raptors (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Pacers won
1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Pacers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event