NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d5e9fec17f76949ecd16d11bf450af7857a8cff94d637c8c1af7b597f93214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 8,070$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.22 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…6ddbbacked Under | 49c | 4,962$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 3,788$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.01 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 2,666$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.64 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…bd47backed Over | 51c | 2,432$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…ea9abacked Over | 51c | 2,311$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Over | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Under | 52c | 2,018$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,596$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.23 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,209$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 854.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 782.69$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 48c | 317.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 297.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0d…659dbacked Over | 51c | 219$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Under | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 208.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 189.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 55c | 181.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 53c | 109.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 105.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 72.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 49c | 69.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 48c | 64.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 59.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 58.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 54c | 43.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 52c | 43.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 41.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 51c | 34.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Over | 48c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Pacers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.