TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x874d…5582backed Over52c6,879$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9517…6ad1backed Under48c6,850$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,534$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae8…f254backed Over54c6,247$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8b…de02backed Under46c5,943$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over52c4,768$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.7612855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…5c83backed Under46c3,021$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf7…9a82backed Under48c2,965$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…bf87backed Over52c2,960$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4757…5eaebacked Over54c2,911$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,876$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ac…0ec9backed Under46c2,225$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ce…c33fbacked Under48c2,185$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4046…ac27backed Over54c2,167$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…dffdbacked Over52c2,116$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over52c1,669$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.244351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,613$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…3d8abacked Under46c1,355$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7084…0ae5backed Under48c1,350$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,303$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6764362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x120f…8534backed Over54c1,245$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56433146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f11…85c5backed Over52c1,092$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b42…329ebacked Under48c1,071$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over53c991.42$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4213464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c920.88$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under48c620.94$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0512950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c495.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.821,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over56c433.52$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7514252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under45c353.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c319.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.972,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over53c290$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.315154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a61…7017backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over55c247.84$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.25855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.129050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over55c137.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.45435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c130.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c117.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230a…257abacked Under46c110.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822633.2%75 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over55c96.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3649358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d21…0876backed Over52c94.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over54c88.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d81…0a91backed Over54c85.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over53c83.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.65,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Over52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.486058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12b…23c8backed Under48c70.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c65.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c63.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.68851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over53c52.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2463353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ed…9af8backed Under60c48.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.965343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0813352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over53c42.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9318957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa999…dcbfbacked Over56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7420241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd430…e2bdbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1203…77ddbacked Over53c35.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Over52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6911663.8%74 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Over52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.883441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed Under48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c28.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over52c27.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Over53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.426561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over58c23.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7641556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e2…75a6backed Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebf…dc08backed Over51c19.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over56c18.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under58c17.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.