TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors51c15,041$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,321.782,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors50c11,502$5,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,779.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Pacers53c10,701$5,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,671.2917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pacers47c10,514$4,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,941.3515545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers48c9,901$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Pacers49c9,837$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.079043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Pacers47c6,327$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.623759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors52c5,301$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.9583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers50c4,530$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.9269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors49c4,041$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.821,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Pacers49c3,984$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Pacers49c3,912$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Raptors51c2,012$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Raptors51c1,972$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Raptors51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.071266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pacers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Raptors51c1,959$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8741,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.9982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers56c1,860$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Raptors52c1,732$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.543850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Raptors52c1,709$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4146145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors52c1,427$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors53c1,300$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors50c1,242$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Raptors53c1,108$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Pacers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors53c900.02$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers49c877.14$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Pacers48c864.31$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.877356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pacers46c638.61$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7615147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Raptors51c607.92$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.235865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Raptors52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…5df8backed Pacers48c562.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Raptors56c536.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2413464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Pacers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Pacers48c499.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9752844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors60c451.02$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Raptors53c441.51$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5131455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors55c436$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.81,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Pacers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Raptors50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors52c386.93$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Raptors55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Raptors47c357.18$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed Pacers57c335.09$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors52c335$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors51c334.75$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers48c304.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers49c303.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.671,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Raptors54c298.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6321743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Raptors55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9123847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.462,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Raptors52c288$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5954351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers46c263.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Pacers45c259.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9917331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Raptors55c247.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2723143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Raptors50c236.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2250651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Raptors56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Pacers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pacers48c206.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors43c204.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Raptors50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5afb…594fbacked Pacers58c198.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Raptors52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3181845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Pacers48c188.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Pacers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Raptors51c174.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.639756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors52c174$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers50c171$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors44c114$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Pacers46c112$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.529560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Raptors50c111.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6713850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Raptors53c111.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.23847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Raptors52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Raptors52c100.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Raptors53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4737850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…e715backed Raptors55c90.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Raptors52c89.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.935855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pacers31c86.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.061,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Raptors54c80.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Raptors47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.465855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Raptors66c79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Pacers37c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Raptors49c78.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Raptors53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3621352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Pacers45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Raptors54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8123051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors55c61.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8250648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d0…a380backed Pacers50c61.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacers51c60.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Raptors50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raptors54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Raptors55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5533249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Raptors47c49.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2419750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.