TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pacers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,045,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,068,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,045,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Pacers25c607,335$150,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,087.049350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors75c275,737$207,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,599.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d11…bee6backed Pacers0c120,090$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors75c77,935$58,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,129.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors75c58,945$44,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,745.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers24c57,031$13,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,746.1127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors78c48,889$38,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,626.5783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers28c42,128$11,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,698.261,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers24c37,291$8,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,868.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors72c36,868$26,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,323.091,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pacers27c33,258$8,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,973.0660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers25c30,431$7,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,607.631,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers23c30,000$6,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,981.9219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Raptors76c28,400$21,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8163129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Pacers24c28,400$6,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,815.942965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4951…7f87backed Pacers5c26,829$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors77c26,426$20,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.291,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers25c25,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.9728742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors75c24,900$18,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2251,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors75c24,189$18,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,930.522,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c23,107$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.257211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Raptors74c22,500$16,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.991850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Pacers6c21,347$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.834856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers25c20,807$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,287.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Raptors75c19,575$14,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.6717356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors75c19,115$14,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,715.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Pacers27c18,570$5,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.8117251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Pacers24c18,500$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4408052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Raptors76c18,500$14,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.9613249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c17,774$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Raptors75c17,290$12,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,322.514663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Raptors77c16,000$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,68019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors75c13,767$10,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,441.6436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Raptors75c13,650$10,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.57468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Raptors75c12,496$9,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Raptors75c12,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers20c11,709$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.21,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c11,612$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…8eeabacked Raptors75c11,251$8,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x194b…3ad0backed Pacers25c10,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers16c10,269$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.5848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors75c10,166$7,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pacers26c10,005$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors75c8,603$6,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.6731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers20c8,540$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.521,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers24c8,194$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Pacers25c7,300$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82513148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers23c7,100$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6331,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers26c7,039$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.9592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Pacers23c7,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers24c6,834$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.161,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors75c6,790$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.3924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Raptors75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers1c5,556$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.858820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Pacers26c5,500$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43020349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc8…6f99backed Pacers24c5,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Raptors78c5,470$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.343775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors77c5,352$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.61,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors76c5,340$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers23c5,054$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2ca…54a2backed Raptors75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pacers22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Raptors74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.993565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Pacers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.896144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…0ce7backed Pacers25c4,996$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2491442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Raptors66c4,534$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.5611452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Pacers23c4,444$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.121225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked Raptors75c4,400$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Raptors76c4,000$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9805251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked Pacers25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Raptors77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d2…66e9backed Raptors76c3,995$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Pacers24c3,930$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Raptors75c3,702$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.166258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Raptors80c3,673$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9713959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Raptors77c3,636$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.3612855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors73c3,596$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.7450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Raptors79c3,578$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.342748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Raptors71c3,521$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.528153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Pacers32c3,510$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.4426640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Pacers23c3,420$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5912646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked Pacers20c3,182$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers24c3,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce45…9638backed Pacers24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae01…65d8backed Pacers25c2,994$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f26…ea16backed Raptors76c2,986$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a5…5927backed Raptors76c2,953$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.721450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…16cbbacked Raptors76c2,945$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors76c2,900$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers25c2,740$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.1265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…fa79backed Raptors76c2,683$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32c…240cbacked Pacers24c2,676$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Raptors75c2,645$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.3371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Raptors77c2,606$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.4516550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.