TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa085…96d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Lesotho vs Zambiabacked Zambia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Indonesia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.08
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Indonesia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.51
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Mozambique vs Malawibacked Mozambique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+387.7%+$310.14
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Ghanabacked Malawi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs South Africabacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$74.25
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriebacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+138.7%+$20.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.