Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9a32aa6ae145be4759ee9450b711fbdc5d90a7db7d6cbdf8473e4caf8527b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 39c | 1,692$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.86 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Indonesia | 33c | 842.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sweden | 67c | 835.97$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.02 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 18c | 776.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Indonesia | 11c | 759.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Sweden | 72c | 699.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sweden | 66c | 696.97$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Indonesia | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweden | 67c | 385.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sweden | 77c | 371.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Indonesia | 5c | 366.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sweden | 67c | 334.17$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Indonesia | 28c | 314.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Indonesia | 9c | 276.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Sweden | 78c | 228.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sweden | 65c | 208.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Indonesia | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Indonesia | 21c | 183.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Indonesia | 16c | 173.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…96d5backed Indonesia | 26c | 167.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Indonesia | 29c | 165.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sweden | 66c | 156.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…70cebacked Indonesia | 30c | 130.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Sweden | 77c | 129.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Sweden | 77c | 117.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Sweden | 65c | 72.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Indonesia | 40c | 69.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Indonesia | 24c | 59.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb3…ceeabacked Sweden | 76c | 50.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Indonesia | 30c | 50.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sweden | 71c | 46.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Sweden | 70c | 41.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…689cbacked Sweden | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Indonesia | 30c | 34.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…8e06backed Sweden | 58c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Sweden | 65c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Sweden | 78c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…55d0backed Sweden | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Sweden | 72c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Sweden | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…6187backed Sweden | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.