Cricket · resolved market
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc796afb71835ae9943736fc727561b3dbf6b85b14d5e6823624f7cf5147f3a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigeriaof Nigeria, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,035 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc5…990dbacked South Africa | 72c | 7,385$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Nigeria | 29c | 7,030$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Nigeria | 36c | 2,450$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.31 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed South Africa | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Nigeria | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…dcbdbacked Nigeria | 62c | 894.15$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed South Africa | 75c | 332.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Nigeria | 29c | 312.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed South Africa | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed South Africa | 44c | 191.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed South Africa | 37c | 169.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Africa | 71c | 162.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked South Africa | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed South Africa | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…1c98backed Nigeria | 30c | 116.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…96d5backed Nigeria | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Nigeria | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…7fb7backed South Africa | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South Africa | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed South Africa | 53c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked South Africa | 68c | 14.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.