Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Ghana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8533e0480453206f5723d035ac6734d17ec201d8e9b1701abf9d7af2d71223d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghanaof Malawi, Ghana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Ghana | 54c | 1,195$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.79 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ghana | 30c | 1,075$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Malawi | 44c | 1,012$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.86 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Malawi | 44c | 686.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Malawi | 58c | 620.91$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Malawi | 50c | 410.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Ghana | 39c | 409.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ghana | 48c | 399.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Malawi | 8c | 383$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…b354backed Ghana | 28c | 365.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Ghana | 58c | 353.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Malawi | 78c | 336.57$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…7fb1backed Ghana | 45c | 323.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Malawi | 44c | 304.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Malawi | 62c | 303$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ghana | 61c | 266$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Malawi | 66c | 253$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ghana | 14c | 232.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ghana | 25c | 214.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Malawi | 62c | 214$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Malawi | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Ghana | 54c | 156.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Malawi | 62c | 137$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Malawi | 41c | 122.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Ghana | 34c | 121.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Ghana | 44c | 119.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked Malawi | 69c | 117.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ghana | 21c | 112.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ghana | 17c | 111.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Malawi | 43c | 107.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Malawi | 58c | 96.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ghana | 25c | 93.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Malawi | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ghana | 23c | 88.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Malawi | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Ghana | 50c | 76.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Ghana | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ghana | 27c | 73.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Malawi | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Ghana | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Malawi | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Ghana | 61c | 59.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ghana | 26c | 56.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Ghana | 26c | 52.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Ghana | 40c | 43.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Ghana | 42c | 42.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Ghana | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Malawi | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Ghana | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Malawi | 64c | 36.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Malawi | 63c | 33.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 221 | 41.6%92 W · 129 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Malawi | 60c | 29.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Malawi | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Malawi | 53c | 24.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Malawi | 59c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…96d5backed Malawi | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.