TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tiafoeof Tiafoe, Comesana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Comesana16c37,427$6,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.152,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tiafoe67c11,547$7,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.5527063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Comesana20c8,736$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.0411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Comesana31c7,290$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.872,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Comesana32c6,739$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.4876546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Comesana17c5,371$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.672,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Comesana12c3,177$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.912,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Tiafoe68c3,103$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.977146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Comesana32c2,748$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.283729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Tiafoe71c2,125$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Comesana6c2,010$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Tiafoe80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Comesana10c1,891$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2611123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Comesana23c1,776$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6928835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Tiafoe69c1,745$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.81,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Tiafoe74c1,648$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.612335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Comesana27c1,613$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee3…cfc9backed Comesana7c1,539$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Tiafoe68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Tiafoe69c1,457$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Comesana30c1,398$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.431332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Comesana30c1,250$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.127733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Tiafoe72c1,211$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.911866.7%12 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Comesana25c1,116$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2833441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Comesana21c1,075$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.167041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Comesana21c1,063$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Comesana32c1,062$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Tiafoe71c1,056$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Comesana4c998.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.412631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Tiafoe72c973.34$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tiafoe68c893$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.891,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Tiafoe70c864.21$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2611647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Comesana20c840.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.361216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Comesana17c827.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tiafoe79c794$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Comesana18c783.9$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Tiafoe77c775.79$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.793647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Tiafoe69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Tiafoe71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Tiafoe71c703.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6213844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Comesana32c665.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.728,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Tiafoe69c664.17$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Comesana26c649.37$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9819023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Comesana21c647.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Comesana30c636.47$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.944443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f13…8c78backed Comesana32c634.63$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Comesana32c599.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Tiafoe69c531.1$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Tiafoe69c502.14$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6612861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Tiafoe71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Comesana29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Comesana6c449.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Tiafoe71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5454138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Tiafoe70c416.34$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.347041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Comesana16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Comesana29c395.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7578452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Comesana17c380.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…85dbbacked Comesana7c358.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Comesana29c340.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Comesana11c331.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3724931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Comesana31c327.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.473048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Comesana22c326.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Comesana32c315$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.816146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Comesana32c314.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Comesana17c313.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.712,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Comesana32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Comesana33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Comesana28c299.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Tiafoe69c294.27$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2758859%347 W · 241 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Tiafoe69c290.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Tiafoe69c288.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.521080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Comesana15c279.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Tiafoe69c275.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.363948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Comesana29c275.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.811717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Comesana26c272.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Comesana26c272.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Comesana18c266.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.114947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Comesana24c257.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f28…4c34backed Comesana36c250.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…67adbacked Tiafoe70c248.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Tiafoe72c220.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.979749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Comesana25c202.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Comesana8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Tiafoe72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Comesana31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6112740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Comesana6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Comesana16c193$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Comesana16c181.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.092,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Comesana29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Tiafoe71c161.46$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8217959.8%107 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Tiafoe68c154.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Comesana9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511027.3%30 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Comesana24c147.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Tiafoe69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.939567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Tiafoe69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9310756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…d77cbacked Tiafoe69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934271.4%30 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Tiafoe71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tiafoe71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Tiafoe71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Tiafoe71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.