TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof New Zealand, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,877 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ee…1686backed New Zealand5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked New Zealand8c19,471$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.7936445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c6…45cbbacked New Zealand0c14,885$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed New Zealand6c13,927$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.4631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed New Zealand1c11,800$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Zealand3c10,058$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5629631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked New Zealand57c9,975$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,718.6411143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed New Zealand43c9,097$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.438652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Africa43c8,544$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.114254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked South Africa55c6,287$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.3311153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed New Zealand56c5,349$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked New Zealand1c5,275$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-84.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f3…c888backed New Zealand56c5,240$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked South Africa73c4,485$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6310863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked South Africa44c4,372$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.6232846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed South Africa46c3,861$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.9820037%74 W · 126 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed South Africa62c3,716$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.4614852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed New Zealand32c3,703$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.923537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…f0ffbacked New Zealand29c3,440$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.647447.3%35 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Zealand44c3,116$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.496633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked New Zealand3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…d234backed New Zealand58c2,840$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x327a…2381backed New Zealand4c2,808$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9912122.3%27 W · 94 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed South Africa45c2,762$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.633863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked New Zealand34c2,709$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.043237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61aa…ff6fbacked South Africa48c2,565$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked South Africa44c2,499$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.3313151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked New Zealand63c2,484$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed South Africa42c2,196$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.145046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6b02backed South Africa75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked New Zealand32c1,795$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.3676351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed New Zealand41c1,425$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.234415.9%7 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-70.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Zealand14c1,393$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3842344.2%187 W · 236 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c2…a042backed South Africa41c1,385$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.284156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked South Africa43c1,361$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.022458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed New Zealand59c1,231$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73017155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b54…a860backed New Zealand35c1,212$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed South Africa43c1,165$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.023070%21 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked New Zealand47c1,142$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked South Africa54c1,057$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked New Zealand18c1,055$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7326130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed South Africa74c1,000$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.83366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed South Africa60c947.67$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed South Africa78c897.87$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.879445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c988backed New Zealand58c837.99$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.04560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked New Zealand2c829.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59775.2%4 W · 73 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked New Zealand5c813.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked New Zealand54c763.38$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.4219265.6%126 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New Zealand37c726.91$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9464143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dad…5386backed New Zealand32c677.2$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4f…c83fbacked New Zealand15c671.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+66.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed South Africa46c660.72$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1711659.5%69 W · 47 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…323ebacked New Zealand7c642.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf55…31b2backed South Africa65c618.49$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.862050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9283…449dbacked South Africa70c600$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked South Africa61c574.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5210763.6%68 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…d809backed New Zealand44c572.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509661.5%59 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed New Zealand56c570.78$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6427054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd033…a7c1backed New Zealand40c569.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.223834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed South Africa45c569.78$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.385332.1%17 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed South Africa49c554.42$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9357…407ebacked South Africa46c545.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked South Africa48c539.28$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fc…38d5backed New Zealand35c535.73$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.549140.7%37 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked South Africa46c534.78$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed New Zealand56c527.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.311030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed South Africa43c523.17$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3710149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed New Zealand9c519.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2131027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New Zealand24c508.37$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1118419.6%36 W · 148 L-25.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-63.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked New Zealand55c508.2$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5110356.3%58 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked New Zealand2c501.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed South Africa69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed New Zealand40c484.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f1…240fbacked New Zealand58c482.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked New Zealand5c482.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3322552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b22…7ed7backed New Zealand4c477.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed New Zealand3c470.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked New Zealand43c460.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0613144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc882…1525backed New Zealand7c457.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked New Zealand43c432.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.687149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New Zealand30c430.58$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1763646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed South Africa43c428.68$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.799740.2%39 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfecd…e7ebbacked South Africa44c423$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.884146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed New Zealand45c405.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6622241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked New Zealand14c400$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.246116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed South Africa62c385.2$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.299429.8%28 W · 66 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New Zealand41c385$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2131050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked New Zealand56c376.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked New Zealand54c355.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed South Africa56c344$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5367931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646f…c762backed New Zealand6c335.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47035.7%25 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed South Africa47c330$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.965451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked South Africa47c315$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed South Africa44c308.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.849956.6%56 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New Zealand54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624637%17 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9334…df9ebacked New Zealand23c299.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb727…b0d8backed New Zealand19c294.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557126.8%19 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4677…70dabacked New Zealand30c280.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.667327.4%20 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3037…70a9backed New Zealand58c279.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82c…21a2backed New Zealand49c277.19$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.