Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bad987128f45503fae8124adf4d4cca9f9368eafd60456b05876e546cb11202

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Norrieof Nava, Norrie
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $195,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,667 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Norrie	79c	13,129$10,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,732.29	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Nava	9c	11,503$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.22	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Nava	32c	8,235$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,635.09	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nava	11c	5,572$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.16	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Norrie	80c	4,222$3,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.4	156	65.4%102 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nava	31c	4,045$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.46	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nava	20c	3,632$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.45	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Nava	18c	3,126$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.55	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nava	33c	3,060$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.79	447	54.4%243 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Norrie	68c	3,053$2,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.87	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Nava	17c	2,974$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.61	111	23.4%26 W · 85 L	-8.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norrie	78c	2,887$2,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.93	4,426	51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L	+136.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…76bebacked Nava	16c	2,286$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.8	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie	79c	2,259$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.47	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nava	23c	2,212$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.23	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…f360backed Norrie	69c	1,999$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.69	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Norrie	69c	1,950$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.76	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Nava	20c	1,708$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.04	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Nava	32c	1,561$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.51	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Norrie	68c	1,500$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	206	53.4%110 W · 96 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Norrie	69c	1,497$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.07	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Nava	21c	1,420$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.47	190	23.2%44 W · 146 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Norrie	68c	1,383$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.32	332	56%186 W · 146 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nava	23c	1,358$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.87	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Nava	31c	1,210$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.29	277	33.6%93 W · 184 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Norrie	80c	1,200$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	441	63.7%281 W · 160 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Nava	32c	1,082$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.22	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Nava	20c	1,051$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd326…3da7backed Nava	16c	979.98$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nava	28c	910.43$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.54	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Norrie	71c	860$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.4	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Nava	30c	740$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Norrie	68c	735.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.29	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Nava	28c	718.43$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.61	284	44.7%127 W · 157 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Norrie	71c	708.28$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.28	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Nava	25c	695$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.46	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Nava	31c	645.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Nava	17c	595.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	394	31%122 W · 272 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Norrie	70c	569.91$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.31	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Norrie	76c	535.46$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.05	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Nava	20c	518.7$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Norrie	69c	499.99$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	146	63%92 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Nava	30c	499.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nava	15c	487.1$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.59	761	46.6%355 W · 406 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Norrie	68c	483.86$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.84	296	61.5%182 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Nava	11c	476$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+248.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Norrie	78c	461.3$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.7	186	63.4%118 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nava	31c	456$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.36	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Norrie	69c	436.91$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.91	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Norrie	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Norrie	70c	428.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	374	44.1%165 W · 209 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nava	29c	420.28$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.88	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Nava	28c	359.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	357	30.5%109 W · 248 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nava	32c	333.79$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.23	1,266	34.2%433 W · 833 L	-43.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Nava	33c	333$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Nava	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Nava	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Nava	22c	279.88$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.64	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Nava	19c	258.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	625	45.4%284 W · 341 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Norrie	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Nava	24c	246.24$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.12	496	32.3%160 W · 336 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Norrie	76c	241.46$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.46	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Norrie	67c	233.67$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.32	136	53.7%73 W · 63 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Nava	31c	228.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Norrie	70c	214.29$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	89	64%57 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Norrie	73c	210$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.4	1,245	51.9%646 W · 599 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Norrie	68c	208.76$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Nava	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	108	9.3%10 W · 98 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Nava	15c	188.03$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Nava	13c	175$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Nava	30c	167.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Nava	32c	164.52$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Nava	30c	164.33$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	658	40.9%269 W · 389 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Nava	19c	160$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Nava	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	545	47.9%261 W · 284 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nava	32c	147$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.04	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nava	20c	146.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Norrie	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nava	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	288	33.3%96 W · 192 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Nava	30c	124.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Nava	18c	121.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	328	37.5%123 W · 205 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Nava	32c	120$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Norrie	71c	108.89$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	606	61.2%371 W · 235 L	+20.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Norrie	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	285	43.5%124 W · 161 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa085…96d5backed Nava	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Nava	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	3.8%3 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Norrie	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	188	63.8%120 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Nava	19c	95.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c50…14dfbacked Norrie	69c	94.2$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Nava	15c	93.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Norrie	68c	90.91$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.09	364	64.3%234 W · 130 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Nava	22c	88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Norrie	69c	87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	602	40.5%244 W · 358 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97c…f3b1backed Norrie	71c	84.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	73cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Nava	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x048b…cdb5backed Nava	15c	74.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Norrie	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Nava	15c	73.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	249	31.3%78 W · 171 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Nava	18c	73.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nava	19c	72.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.02	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriethis page
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)Norrie won
Set Handicap: Norrie (-2.5) vs Nava (+2.5)Nava won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event