TailMyPicks
Wallet0xb97c35fa621107375482533f7d34f24d5460f3b1Check another

Wallet 0xb97c…f3b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Where its weight is

NBA

20 of its 50 qualified picks

60out of 100

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

Its best Category

NBA

which is also where its weight is

60out of 100

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

5 below 50 · 7 at or above · 12 Categories scored

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2090%18 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$62.24
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$43.49
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.39
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.7
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$21.14
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$15.06
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.23
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26%+$13.92
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$155.29
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.43
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.87
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.12
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$50.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$32.68
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.51
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.52
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.01
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$119.04
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+54.4%+$44.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.7%+$47.2
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36%+$14.4
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bearsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+43.1%+$11.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $280?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.